NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	6.2 [572]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	1.3 [842]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -17.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	18	61%	0.18	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Adrian Griffin	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	7	93%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	-0.00	-0.04	14	63%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	11	68%	0.09	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.04	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	7	20%	-0.08	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.04	17	54%	0.08	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	16	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	59%	0.10	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	65%	0.12	6	-0.18	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	31.0	14.8	25.8	1.5	28.6	127.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +21.6%

DAL -0.3%

POR +20.8%

POR +5.1%

POR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	12.8	16.4	15.6	104.0	116.3	102.3
season	14.8	16.0		109.6	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.3	13.5	12.0	12.4	12.8
POR	15.5	15.4	15.7	19.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	10	8	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.05	6	-17	23	16.1	12.4	3.66	17.2	16.4	0.87
Eduardo Najera	38	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-18	25	13.2	12.5	0.70	18.2	15.5	2.72
Wang Zhi-zhi	19	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-13	15	12.0	13.0	-1.00	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Johnny Newman	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	9.0	12.9	-3.89	26.0	16.2	9.75
Shawn Bradley	15	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-9	7	11.3	13.1	-1.82	14.1	16.9	-2.85
Greg Buckner	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-5	-1	12.6	12.8	-0.19	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Adrian Griffin	52	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	12.3	13.4	-1.09	14.9	18.1	-3.18
Tim Hardaway	54	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-9	7	13.4	12.0	1.40	17.5	15.2	2.32
Juwan Howard	82	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	13.1	11.5	1.54	16.5	16.1	0.39
Michael Finley	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	2	-15	13.2	11.8	1.42	17.1	14.7	2.44
Steve Nash	58	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	6	-23	12.3	13.5	-1.16	15.6	17.7	-2.16
Dirk Nowitzki	79	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	5	-21	12.4	14.3	-1.87	16.2	17.6	-1.38

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	77	77	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-8	27	15.9	18.3	-2.34	12.5	14.0	-1.59
Scottie Pippen	87	84	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-5	21	16.1	19.0	-2.87	12.1	16.5	-4.39
Damon Stoudamire	80	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-3	17	16.6	15.6	1.03	13.0	11.9	1.12
Bonzi Wells	80	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	0	11	16.1	17.8	-1.70	12.8	12.9	-0.09
Dale Davis	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	3	5	16.7	15.9	0.76	12.8	12.9	-0.11
Shawn Kemp	35	36	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	10	-9	15.8	16.8	-1.01	13.1	12.7	0.39
Ruben Patterson	33	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	19	-27	18.2	15.6	2.66	13.5	12.5	1.01
Derek Anderson	32	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	17	-23	17.2	16.1	1.14	14.0	12.2	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
ORL 109, IND 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
BOS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%