NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	130		Excitement	6.7 [513]		MVP	Jeff Green (CLE): +30.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	132		Comeback	1.3 [897]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -14.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.31	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.12	12	103%	0.34	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
LeBron James	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	29	64%	0.34	8	-0.22	11	55%	-0.19
Kevin Love	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
JR Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	11	27%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.07	0.06	19	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.05
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.09	0.05	17	69%	0.23	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	15	70%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.02	12	61%	0.17	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	9	17%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	28.5	15.3	30.5	2.3	40.6	145.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +6.2%

PHI +9.0%

PHI +27.0%

PHI +4.3%

PHI +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	13.7	14.7	123.8	125.7	107.5
season	14.8	13.9		111.2	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.8	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	13.5	13.0	13.0	13.7
PHI	12.9	11.8	14.2	16.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	70	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.59	17	-19	36	13.5	14.2	-0.74	14.7	11.7	3.01
Tristan Thompson	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	1	-4	14.2	13.6	0.51	11.4	14.1	-2.73
Kevin Love	72	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-14	26	13.7	13.7	0.06	13.6	14.0	-0.40
Kyle Korver	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	0	-2	13.5	13.9	-0.43	13.5	13.9	-0.44
Larry Nance Jr.	16	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	13	-28	14.7	13.5	1.16	11.2	14.2	-2.99
Jordan Clarkson	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	6	-14	14.2	13.4	0.71	13.9	13.6	0.35
Rodney Hood	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.29	-19	17	-36	14.1	13.6	0.55	12.9	14.0	-1.13
LeBron James	88	89	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.49	7	-9	16	13.2	16.3	-3.09	14.2	11.2	2.92
Jeff Green	90	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.51	3	-5	8	13.8	13.3	0.51	14.0	12.2	1.74
JR Smith	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.9	13.3	0.59	13.3	14.4	-1.01

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-2	6	14.3	12.0	2.24	13.2	15.1	-1.89
Marco Belinelli	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	0	2	13.3	14.3	-1.02	14.6	12.3	2.32
Ben Simmons	80	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	5	-8	13.7	13.8	-0.10	13.9	13.2	0.72
Dario Saric	57	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	-3	8	13.8	13.7	0.07	13.7	13.7	0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	62	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	-2	6	13.5	14.0	-0.55	14.3	12.8	1.45
Richaun Holmes	32	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	0	2	12.7	14.2	-1.54	15.6	12.9	2.71
Markelle Fultz	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-3	8	13.8	13.7	0.10	13.2	13.9	-0.72
JJ Redick	71	72	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.48	-10	12	-22	14.1	12.9	1.29	12.3	16.8	-4.50
Amir Johnson	45	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	3	-4	14.1	13.5	0.60	12.4	14.7	-2.27
T.J. McConnell	11	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	0	2	12.2	13.9	-1.72	17.0	13.2	3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.8%
NYK 95, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.97,1	93.5%
DEN 96, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	93.4%