inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 130 Excitement6.7 [513] MVPJeff Green (CLE): +30.7%
Philadelphia 76ers 132 Comeback1.3 [897] LVPCedi Osman (CLE): -14.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.310,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.310.310.120.1212103%0.342-0.038100%0.05
LeBron James0.120,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.120.100.050.032964%0.348-0.221155%-0.19
Kevin Love0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.070.09-0.010.011068%0.071-0.01580%0.00
JR Smith0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.070.050.030.02667%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01280%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Rodney Hood-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Kyle Korver-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.01-0.00383%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07-0.03-0.040.01425%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jordan Clarkson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.01737%-0.041-0.042100%0.01
Cedi Osman-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.10-0.031127%-0.1500.00450%-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.150.150.140.070.061962%0.171-0.02786%0.05
Ben Simmons0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.150.150.120.090.051769%0.233-0.08560%-0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.110.110.140.000.031570%0.152-0.043100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.110.110.060.060.021261%0.171-0.074100%0.03
Robert Covington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.030.02865%0.0800.001100%0.01
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00475%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Markelle Fultz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.00862%0.042-0.0400%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01841%-0.011-0.011100%-0.00
Dario Saric0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.03-0.04917%-0.091-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.628.515.330.52.340.6145.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +6.2%
PHI +9.0%
PHI +27.0%
PHI +4.3%
PHI +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEPHINBACLEPHINBA
this game13.713.714.7123.8125.7107.5
season14.813.9111.2108.1
opponent14.714.7103.8110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.413.513.013.013.7
PHI12.911.814.216.313.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cedi Osman7070-0.09-0.410.31-0.5917-193613.514.2-0.7414.711.73.01
Tristan Thompson1314-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-31-414.213.60.5111.414.1-2.73
Kevin Love7272-0.16-0.340.18-0.5112-142613.713.70.0613.614.0-0.40
Kyle Korver4443-0.17-0.330.15-0.12-20-213.513.9-0.4313.513.9-0.44
Larry Nance Jr.1616-0.23-0.270.030.21-1513-2814.713.51.1611.214.2-2.99
Jordan Clarkson3938-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-86-1414.213.40.7113.913.60.35
Rodney Hood2728-0.27-0.23-0.030.29-1917-3614.113.60.5512.914.0-1.13
LeBron James8889-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.497-91613.216.3-3.0914.211.22.92
Jeff Green9089-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.513-5813.813.30.5114.012.21.74
JR Smith6666-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.44-20-213.913.30.5913.314.4-1.01

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Covington79780.460.040.420.344-2614.312.02.2413.215.1-1.89
Marco Belinelli63640.410.090.310.3520213.314.3-1.0214.612.32.32
Ben Simmons80800.310.190.120.40-35-813.713.8-0.1013.913.20.72
Dario Saric57550.300.200.090.155-3813.813.70.0713.713.70.05
Ersan Ilyasova62630.260.240.010.144-2613.514.0-0.5514.312.81.45
Richaun Holmes32310.220.28-0.050.1620212.714.2-1.5415.612.92.71
Markelle Fultz25250.190.31-0.120.045-3813.813.70.1013.213.9-0.72
JJ Redick71720.190.31-0.130.48-1012-2214.112.91.2912.316.8-4.50
Amir Johnson45440.150.35-0.210.18-13-414.113.50.6012.414.7-2.27
T.J. McConnell11130.030.47-0.45-0.0320212.213.9-1.7217.013.23.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 94, PHI 1030.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,193.8%
NYK 95, LAC 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.97,193.5%
DEN 96, MEM 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.91,0.99,193.4%