NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	4.9 [808]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +13.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.3 [1101]		LVP	Mateen Cleaves (DET): -11.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	72%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.03	0.09	19	59%	-0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	31	49%	0.00	5	-0.08	11	100%	0.04
Eric Montross	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	1	100%	0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.07	-0.05	14	64%	0.15	3	-0.01	8	87%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	7	64%	0.07	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Pepe Sanchez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	21	58%	0.11	5	-0.12	6	83%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	9	68%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	54%	-0.00	1	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	29.2	15.4	27.5	1.7	38.0	139.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +56.7%

PHI +1.2%

DET -16.1%

PHI +7.0%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	15.5	94.0	102.0	100.9
season	14.3	15.7		97.9	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.4	13.6	12.9	13.0	13.9
PHI	15.6	13.6	15.9	14.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-10	11	13.3	14.1	-0.81	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Michael Curry	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-8	7	11.9	14.2	-2.27	12.3	15.0	-2.71
Jud Buechler	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-3	-3	20.7	13.4	7.29	12.6	14.9	-2.31
Ben Wallace	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-4	-1	14.5	13.8	0.68	17.4	14.2	3.15
Billy Owens	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-7	5	14.6	13.4	1.22	15.7	14.0	1.66
Cedric Ceballos	38	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-8	7	14.8	13.4	1.47	15.5	14.2	1.29
John Wallace	50	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-7	5	13.1	14.8	-1.70	13.8	15.7	-1.96
Mateen Cleaves	34	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-5	1	12.2	14.8	-2.57	13.2	15.5	-2.29
Eric Montross	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-11	13	14.3	13.5	0.80	16.0	13.2	2.88
Jerry Stackhouse	91	93	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-6	3	13.4	19.3	-5.94	15.0	11.5	3.50
Jerome Williams	55	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	5	-19	14.5	13.3	1.17	13.6	16.0	-2.31
Chucky Atkins	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	1	-11	14.1	13.2	0.89	14.7	14.7	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	84	83	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-4	17	14.9	13.9	1.01	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Eric Snow	66	63	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	2	5	15.0	14.3	0.71	13.0	15.6	-2.60
Allen Iverson	93	93	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	6	-3	14.8	13.2	1.60	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Toni Kukoc	48	48	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	-6	21	13.6	15.8	-2.17	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Vernon Maxwell	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-4	17	13.2	16.4	-3.15	14.7	13.1	1.55
George Lynch	75	74	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.32	-4	13	-17	15.7	12.0	3.72	14.4	12.5	1.98
Theo Ratliff	85	85	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	11	-13	15.0	13.4	1.60	14.0	13.3	0.70
Pepe Sanchez	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	9	-9	13.0	14.7	-1.74	0.0	14.1	-14.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.97,1	93.8%
CLE 130, PHI 132	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.96,1	93.8%
POR 105, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.78,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.95,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.91,1	93.4%