NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	5.1 [838]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +37.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	126		Comeback	1.6 [1229]		LVP	Tyus Jones (MIN): -11.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.21	0.01	0.03	10	100%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
John Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Magette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	11	65%	0.06	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Andrew White III	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	14	66%	0.10	7	-0.15	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38	0.38	0.37	0.06	0.06	32	71%	0.42	2	-0.04	15	80%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	8	87%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.0	14.6	28.5	2.4	29.3	126.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +19.7%

MIN +3.4%

MIN +7.2%

MIN +15.1%

MIN +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	14.1	14.7	107.5	122.3	107.5
season	14.6	15.3		104.2	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		110.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.5	12.2	14.1	13.1	13.5
MIN	13.8	14.4	12.0	16.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	54	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-12	12	13.7	13.2	0.53	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Josh Magette	55	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-15	18	13.4	13.6	-0.17	14.9	13.2	1.61
Tyler Cavanaugh	38	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-14	16	12.9	13.8	-0.83	13.9	14.2	-0.35
Taurean Prince	76	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-8	4	13.6	13.2	0.35	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Tyler Dorsey	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	13.5	13.4	0.11	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Andrew White III	14	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.06	-12	0	-12	13.9	13.4	0.52	12.9	14.3	-1.35
Isaiah Taylor	65	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	13.6	13.3	0.31	14.3	13.8	0.55
Damion Lee	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-6	0	13.2	14.0	-0.81	14.0	14.2	-0.25
John Collins	55	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	1	-14	14.0	12.9	1.08	13.7	14.5	-0.84
Dewayne Dedmon	65	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	1	-14	13.1	14.0	-0.89	14.6	13.3	1.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	81	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-3	18	13.8	15.0	-1.22	13.3	14.0	-0.65
Karl-Anthony Towns	87	91	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	5	2	14.5	12.1	2.40	13.4	13.7	-0.29
Gorgui Dieng	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-1	14	14.3	14.0	0.32	13.8	13.3	0.52
Tyus Jones	46	45	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	1	10	14.5	13.7	0.82	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Jamal Crawford	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	7	-2	14.4	13.7	0.71	12.9	14.1	-1.26
Andrew Wiggins	81	83	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	8	-4	13.6	15.9	-2.32	13.4	13.9	-0.50
Jeff Teague	64	68	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	8	-4	13.9	14.4	-0.48	13.6	13.3	0.30
Taj Gibson	62	66	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	11	-10	14.0	14.2	-0.26	14.1	12.4	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
POR 105, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 98, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.2%