NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	4.5 [894]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +22.2%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.1 [1119]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -7.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	3	133%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.05	18	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	15	73%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	13	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.27	0.03	0.08	13	90%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	9	88%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.04	0.04	6	89%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	54%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	32.3	15.7	26.1	1.8	31.1	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +58.6%

UTA +6.8%

POR -13.9%

UTA +0.3%

POR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.0	15.3	112.9	131.1	106.0
season	16.7	15.3		108.8	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.6		104.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	16.0	17.6	16.4	16.4
UTA	14.6	12.2	16.7	17.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	11.5	16.5	-5.05	24.0	14.9	9.09
Jeff Ayres	12	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-12	11	13.7	16.8	-3.09	11.9	15.4	-3.47
Nicolas Batum	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-15	17	15.0	17.1	-2.11	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Steve Blake	42	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-14	15	15.3	17.4	-2.15	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Dante Cunningham	31	29	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-10	7	15.0	17.2	-2.16	14.8	15.1	-0.27
Rudy Fernandez	46	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-11	9	16.8	16.1	0.63	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Jerryd Bayless	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-5	-3	16.9	16.1	0.83	16.4	14.0	2.42
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-5	-3	17.0	13.1	3.97	15.1	14.6	0.52
Andre Miller	57	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	4	-21	16.9	15.7	1.17	14.5	15.8	-1.26
Martell Webster	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	1	-15	16.7	15.8	0.82	15.3	14.2	1.04
Juwan Howard	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	2	-17	17.4	14.7	2.66	15.4	14.2	1.19

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	78	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	1	11	15.4	12.6	2.80	16.3	17.2	-0.83
Mehmet Okur	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	0	13	15.4	14.3	1.07	16.8	15.8	0.95
Andrei Kirilenko	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	2	9	15.7	13.2	2.51	17.8	13.2	4.67
Deron Williams	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	5	3	15.5	12.8	2.77	16.9	14.6	2.35
Wesley Matthews	47	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	7	-1	14.6	15.5	-0.96	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Ronnie Brewer	43	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	15.5	14.6	0.96	17.3	15.7	1.58
CJ Miles	34	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	10	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.34	15.5	17.0	-1.54
Ronnie Price	16	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	8	-3	12.1	15.6	-3.59	14.9	16.8	-1.86
Kyrylo Fesenko	9	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	10	-7	11.3	15.4	-4.09	14.2	16.7	-2.46
Kyle Korver	23	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	16	-19	13.1	15.7	-2.53	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Sundiata Gaines	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	24.0	14.9	9.09	11.5	16.5	-5.05
Kosta Koufos	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	24.0	14.9	9.09	0.0	16.6	-16.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
PHI 93, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.9%
WAS 89, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%