NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	4.0 [992]		MVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): +12.8%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	1.2 [757]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -11.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	21	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.06	9	80%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.07	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	0.03	9	39%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	9	86%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	20	61%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	3	77%	0.09	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	14	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.4	28.5	15.4	26.7	2.8	34.2	138.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.3%

LAL -5.0%

ATL +1.1%

ATL +10.0%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	17.4	15.3	108.2	128.2	106.0
season	15.7	16.0		107.9	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.1		106.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	14.9	18.2	16.6	16.4
ATL	18.9	13.9	17.8	20.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	14.2	16.6	-2.31	18.5	17.4	1.12
DJ Mbenga	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-13	9	14.5	16.8	-2.34	15.7	17.7	-2.06
Adam Morrison	12	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-15	13	17.3	16.3	1.03	19.7	17.2	2.50
Derek Fisher	41	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-15	13	16.3	16.6	-0.25	17.0	17.9	-0.95
Shannon Brown	29	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-7	-3	15.6	16.9	-1.25	17.5	17.4	0.07
Jordan Farmar	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-7	-3	16.2	16.8	-0.62	18.2	16.6	1.53
Metta World Peace	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-3	-11	16.9	14.3	2.63	17.0	19.1	-2.08
Kobe Bryant	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-2	-13	16.6	15.3	1.35	17.0	20.9	-3.86
Lamar Odom	66	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-3	-11	16.3	16.8	-0.44	17.7	16.2	1.50
Pau Gasol	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-4	-9	16.8	14.5	2.34	17.7	15.7	2.06

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	68	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	1	15	17.5	17.0	0.54	16.7	15.6	1.05
Marvin Williams	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	3	11	16.7	18.6	-1.90	17.6	14.3	3.37
Zaza Pachulia	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	5	7	16.6	18.3	-1.75	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Joe Johnson	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	10	-3	17.2	18.1	-0.88	17.0	15.0	1.92
Jamal Crawford	49	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	7	3	17.7	17.0	0.71	15.7	17.6	-1.95
Maurice Evans	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	7	3	18.6	16.3	2.32	15.9	17.0	-1.05
Mike Bibby	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	13	-9	16.5	18.3	-1.77	17.1	15.9	1.12
Al Horford	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	12	-7	18.3	16.6	1.75	17.2	15.7	1.49
Jeff Teague	19	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	12	-7	17.6	17.4	0.19	13.6	17.3	-3.66
Jason Collins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	20.0	17.3	2.66	13.3	16.6	-3.23
Mario West	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	20.0	17.3	2.66	13.3	16.6	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 80, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
POR 105, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%