NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	6.1 [628]		MVP	Justin Jackson (SAC): +31.3%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.9 [700]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -20.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Taylor	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	10	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Dorsey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	46%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Andrew White III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Magette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	11	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.24	0.09	0.02	8	111%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.01	11	64%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	15	53%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	14	32%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	11	17%	-0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	22.4	14.6	25.4	2.3	23.6	114.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.8%

SAC +5.1%

SAC +7.6%

SAC +10.0%

SAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	14.7	92.8	109.4	107.5
season	14.6	15.4		104.2	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	16.9	13.1	14.9	14.9
SAC	14.1	13.8	12.6	20.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	49	48	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.00	6	-21	27	14.3	15.6	-1.34	14.9	14.9	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	54	53	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.17	11	-26	37	14.4	15.6	-1.26	15.9	13.7	2.21
Dewayne Dedmon	53	52	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-25	35	14.7	15.2	-0.55	16.1	13.5	2.62
Damion Lee	45	46	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-22	29	14.6	15.2	-0.61	16.1	13.8	2.29
Mike Muscala	48	47	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-21	27	14.8	15.1	-0.31	15.6	14.3	1.29
Tyler Dorsey	55	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.16	-23	8	-31	15.1	14.7	0.46	13.8	16.2	-2.38
Tyler Cavanaugh	43	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	7	-29	14.8	15.0	-0.20	13.8	15.8	-2.00
Miles Plumlee	44	44	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	7	-29	15.5	14.4	1.09	14.0	15.7	-1.61
Josh Magette	44	44	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.09	-25	10	-35	15.4	14.5	0.92	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Andrew White III	50	50	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.03	-23	8	-31	15.8	14.0	1.80	14.7	15.2	-0.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Mason	56	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.02	22	-7	29	15.9	13.5	2.47	15.8	13.7	2.07
Buddy Hield	52	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-4	23	16.0	13.7	2.32	15.5	14.2	1.37
Kosta Koufos	61	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.05	21	-6	27	15.2	14.4	0.81	15.0	14.8	0.26
Vince Carter	44	46	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	1	13	15.8	14.2	1.62	15.9	14.0	1.87
Skal Labissiere	60	62	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	14	-13	15.0	14.8	0.22	15.1	14.7	0.42
Bruno Caboclo	25	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.16	13	2	11	16.2	14.5	1.74	15.5	14.8	0.70
Justin Jackson	56	54	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	12	-9	14.0	16.2	-2.24	14.3	15.7	-1.38
De'Aaron Fox	43	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	20	-25	13.6	16.0	-2.42	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Willie Cauley-Stein	42	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	22	-29	13.9	15.7	-1.76	14.0	15.6	-1.69
Bogdan Bogdanovic	41	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	21	-27	13.6	15.9	-2.37	13.6	15.9	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
SAS 76, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%