NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	76		Excitement	5.5 [690]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +17.1%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	2.3 [668]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAS): -17.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominique Wilkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	12	61%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Vinny Del Negro	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	86%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	5	33%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	13	30%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.06	0.04	21	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	6	47%	-0.01	4	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	16	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	25.6	16.5	27.0	1.7	25.2	120.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +16.0%

SAS -9.6%

PHX +5.8%

PHX +35.7%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	81.7	103.3	104.4
season	16.8	14.6		100.8	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	15.8	15.1	16.2	15.5
PHX	14.5	14.2	18.4	17.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	40	39	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.03	11	-28	39	15.4	15.6	-0.18	16.7	15.4	1.26
Cory Alexander	29	28	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-22	27	13.5	16.4	-2.94	17.1	15.5	1.64
David Robinson	38	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-22	27	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.6	16.3	-0.74
Carl Herrera	43	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-12	7	14.9	16.0	-1.16	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Will Perdue	56	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-17	17	15.3	15.8	-0.51	17.7	13.3	4.41
Monty Williams	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-12	7	13.1	15.9	-2.78	16.4	15.9	0.48
Sean Elliott	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-3	-11	16.0	14.5	1.58	16.2	15.6	0.63
Greg Anderson	18	17	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-3	-11	18.2	14.9	3.37	14.1	16.4	-2.29
Dominique Wilkins	48	46	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	1	-19	15.1	15.9	-0.74	15.0	17.0	-2.09
Avery Johnson	64	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.02	-22	5	-27	16.4	13.5	2.94	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Vernon Maxwell	53	51	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	0.03	-28	11	-39	15.6	15.4	0.18	15.4	16.7	-1.26

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	62	62	0.93	-0.43	1.36	-0.10	35	-18	53	15.2	17.8	-2.62	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Mark Bryant	29	31	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-3	23	16.3	15.8	0.49	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Wesley Person	72	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	0	17	16.0	15.7	0.32	15.1	17.2	-2.13
Rex Chapman	35	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	-1	19	16.7	15.5	1.25	14.8	16.0	-1.15
Robert Horry	29	28	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	3	11	16.1	15.9	0.19	17.4	14.7	2.70
Sam Cassell	39	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	6	5	16.6	15.5	1.08	16.6	14.6	2.01
Kevin Johnson	56	59	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	15	-13	15.3	17.0	-1.69	14.9	16.6	-1.66
Michael Finley	55	57	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	16	-15	15.8	16.3	-0.50	15.3	15.9	-0.58
Hot Rod Williams	43	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	30	-43	16.0	15.9	0.09	15.3	15.7	-0.33
A.C. Green	30	31	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.12	-20	37	-57	16.9	15.5	1.33	16.6	15.0	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
NJN 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
POR 85, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%