NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	115		Excitement	10.7 [35]		MVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): +31.4%
Toronto Raptors	122		Comeback	10.2 [252]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -47.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.31,0.31	0.04	0.28	0.01	4	75%	0.35	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
J.J. Barea	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	12	75%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	2	150%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameel Warney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	14	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26	0.10	-0.34	0.01	20	60%	-0.06	2	-0.20	5	80%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.47	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3,-0.45,-0.38,-0.36,-0.36,-0.47,-0.47	-0.15	-0.32	0.01	23	40%	-0.21	5	-0.27	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delon Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	15	50%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.03	9	81%	0.17	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	80%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,-0.1,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.09	0.02	23	48%	0.19	3	-0.13	14	86%	0.05
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.10	-0.00	10	60%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.18	0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.19	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	25.4	14.7	29.5	1.6	31.8	1.8	18.4	150.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +7.3%

TOR +9.7%

TOR +34.4%

DAL -4.0%

TOR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	TOR	NBA	DAL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	14.7	110.6	116.2	107.5
season	15.4	14.6		105.3	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.3		105.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	14.6	13.5	12.3	20.2	13.4	14.7
TOR	15.4	16.5	16.0	15.0	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	53	51	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.18	1	-8	9	14.5	14.9	-0.39	14.7	16.6	-1.87
Maxi Kleber	17	16	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-16	25	11.8	15.3	-3.49	15.8	15.7	0.15
Doug McDermott	34	33	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-10	13	14.8	14.7	0.12	14.5	16.2	-1.80
J.J. Barea	39	39	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-10	13	14.8	14.7	0.09	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Dorian Finney-Smith	46	46	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.10	-2	-5	3	14.1	15.2	-1.13	15.9	15.5	0.40
Jameel Warney	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-4	1	17.8	14.3	3.52	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Dennis Smith Jr.	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-8	9	14.3	15.5	-1.17	16.4	14.3	2.10
Nerlens Noel	47	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.52	-3	-4	1	15.1	14.4	0.75	17.0	14.4	2.59
Dwight Powell	63	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	2	-11	14.9	14.5	0.34	16.0	15.2	0.83
Harrison Barnes	76	77	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.34	-15	8	-23	14.6	15.1	-0.50	15.8	15.3	0.55
Yogi Ferrell	62	63	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.27	-20	13	-33	15.6	13.5	2.04	15.0	16.7	-1.75

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	82	81	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.28	19	-12	31	15.6	15.8	-0.18	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Pascal Siakam	60	59	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-3	13	15.1	16.5	-1.41	15.4	13.8	1.62
Delon Wright	75	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-6	19	15.9	15.1	0.82	15.4	13.2	2.16
Serge Ibaka	67	65	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	0	7	16.4	14.4	2.02	15.2	13.9	1.35
Fred VanVleet	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	0	7	15.0	16.6	-1.64	15.4	13.8	1.56
OG Anunoby	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	6	-5	16.5	15.2	1.28	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Jonas Valanciunas	46	46	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.31	5	2	3	15.9	15.5	0.40	13.4	15.8	-2.42
Malcolm Miller	15	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	16	-25	16.0	15.6	0.37	12.0	15.2	-3.20
Jakob Poeltl	37	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	16	-25	15.1	16.0	-0.98	14.4	14.9	-0.50
CJ Miles	44	45	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.18	-9	16	-25	15.5	15.8	-0.32	14.0	15.3	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.29,0.09,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.22,0.53,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 120, ATL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.55,0.58,1	90.3%
SAC 101, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.55,0.85,1	90.2%
CHA 97, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	89.9%