NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	5.6 [724]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +17.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.4 [979]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -15.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.02	0.06	13	68%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Holland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
JR Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
LeBron James	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	0.03	-0.05	0.05	25	59%	0.14	6	-0.20	9	44%	-0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.04	-0.03	24	58%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	8	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	71%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	20	49%	0.08	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	9	32%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.0	14.6	27.3	2.5	25.6	125.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +7.5%

POR +22.0%

POR +14.4%

CLE -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	13.5	15.9	14.7	108.2	114.1	107.5
season	14.8	15.2		111.2	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.7		105.7	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.9	12.9	14.6	12.4	13.5
POR	16.1	14.8	13.7	19.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ante Zizic	13	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-4	0	13.2	13.5	-0.27	16.4	15.8	0.56
John Holland	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-8	8	13.7	13.4	0.29	16.0	15.9	0.10
Jordan Clarkson	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-6	4	12.1	14.9	-2.83	17.4	14.5	2.91
Rodney Hood	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	2	-12	14.9	12.6	2.31	15.2	16.3	-1.18
Kyle Korver	78	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-9	10	13.4	13.9	-0.54	15.5	17.5	-2.01
JR Smith	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	2	-12	13.1	14.0	-0.89	15.5	16.5	-1.01
LeBron James	82	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-5	2	13.1	15.4	-2.29	16.1	14.5	1.63
Jeff Green	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	13.8	12.5	1.30	15.5	16.9	-1.36
George Hill	70	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-5	2	14.1	11.8	2.29	16.0	15.5	0.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	16.2	14.7	1.51	13.5	13.2	0.27
Ed Davis	45	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	15.8	16.0	-0.22	13.5	13.4	0.15
Maurice Harkless	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	2	4	15.6	16.2	-0.52	14.8	12.0	2.81
Al-Farouq Aminu	76	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	2	4	15.7	16.6	-0.92	13.3	14.1	-0.82
Damian Lillard	76	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	9	-10	15.4	17.6	-2.23	13.3	14.0	-0.65
Evan Turner	55	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	8	-8	17.5	14.0	3.50	11.5	15.7	-4.24
Shabazz Napier	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	1	6	15.7	16.0	-0.28	14.8	12.8	1.97
Zach Collins	16	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	1	6	16.7	15.7	0.94	14.1	13.3	0.79
Jusuf Nurkic	38	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	6	-4	14.9	16.5	-1.54	14.3	12.9	1.45
Pat Connaughton	30	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	11	-14	15.6	16.0	-0.38	12.2	14.0	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1	95.2%
MIL 77, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
PHI 107, NJN 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	95.0%