NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	4.9 [813]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +13.4%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	1.4 [1069]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -9.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Devin Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	12	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	16	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Matt Bullard	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Walt Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	16	59%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.07	-0.04	24	64%	0.27	6	-0.13	8	75%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Terry Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	21	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	11	63%	0.04	4	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	26.2	15.6	32.2	2.4	38.8	140.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.8%

DET +2.0%

HOU -6.6%

DET +15.4%

HOU -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.2	106.1	112.4	101.7
season	15.4	14.1		102.4	104.2
opponent	15.3	14.6		103.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.1	14.5	15.4	14.0	15.2
DET	14.2	14.9	12.8	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Gray	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-14	24	14.4	15.5	-1.05	15.1	13.8	1.26
Hakeem Olajuwon	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-6	8	14.9	15.4	-0.48	14.7	13.8	0.95
Kenny Thomas	63	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.38	8	-12	20	14.7	16.1	-1.31	14.8	13.1	1.70
Walt Williams	34	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	5	-14	15.7	15.0	0.74	13.2	14.7	-1.42
Shandon Anderson	61	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	5	-14	16.0	14.0	1.98	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Matt Bullard	32	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	9	-22	15.2	15.2	-0.01	13.2	14.6	-1.33
Cuttino Mobley	77	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-4	4	14.9	16.5	-1.64	14.4	13.4	0.96
Kelvin Cato	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	1	-6	15.6	14.4	1.21	13.7	15.2	-1.56
Bryce Drew	99	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.2	0.0	15.22	14.2	0.0	14.15

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-3	10	13.3	16.4	-3.17	15.7	14.0	1.70
Jerry Stackhouse	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	-1	6	14.0	15.1	-1.16	15.5	14.2	1.29
Grant Hill	80	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	13.6	16.8	-3.16	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Lindsey Hunter	80	83	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.44	-2	6	-8	13.8	15.9	-2.17	15.0	16.1	-1.08
Terry Mills	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-5	14	13.8	14.5	-0.66	15.7	14.8	0.80
Michael Curry	34	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	0	4	15.5	13.4	2.12	14.1	15.9	-1.75
John Crotty	17	16	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	-2	8	15.9	13.8	2.17	16.1	15.0	1.08
Jerome Williams	54	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	12	-20	14.7	13.4	1.32	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Loy Vaught	24	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	16.6	13.3	3.28	14.2	15.6	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 77, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 82, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%