NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	82		Excitement	4.1 [1055]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +10.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	1.6 [731]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -21.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pooh Jeter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.04	-0.02	13	24%	-0.13	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	68%	0.21	4	-0.10	15	73%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	17	61%	0.14	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	65%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	8	37%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	8	63%	0.08	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Willie Warren	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	32.0	18.8	36.2	2.7	32.3	150.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.4%

LAC +21.7%

LAC +7.8%

SAC -0.7%

SAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.5	88.2	109.9	105.7
season	14.9	15.4		102.1	104.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.1	15.8	15.6	13.9	15.4
LAC	14.5	16.2	13.8	19.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	17	17	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-25	32	16.2	15.2	1.05	17.1	15.7	1.38
Darnell Jackson	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	13.4	15.7	-2.38	15.9	15.9	-0.08
Jason Thompson	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-18	18	14.7	15.8	-1.10	16.6	15.6	1.05
Beno Udrih	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-16	14	15.0	15.7	-0.64	16.7	15.2	1.58
Omri Casspi	37	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-15	12	15.2	15.5	-0.36	14.8	16.8	-2.04
Pooh Jeter	18	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-10	2	17.1	15.0	2.08	14.9	16.2	-1.26
Donte Greene	47	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	-12	-6	-6	15.7	15.0	0.66	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Luther Head	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.05	-14	-4	-10	15.2	15.7	-0.50	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	74	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-3	-12	15.2	16.0	-0.78	16.7	13.6	3.09
Carl Landry	70	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	2	-22	15.7	14.5	1.14	15.9	16.0	-0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	52	50	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.14	-26	8	-34	15.7	15.0	0.76	15.0	17.1	-2.12

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	70	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-3	24	15.7	16.7	-1.01	15.4	15.2	0.22
Eric Bledsoe	58	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	0	18	15.9	15.9	-0.01	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Blake Griffin	64	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-3	24	16.0	15.7	0.27	15.7	14.4	1.32
DeAndre Jordan	56	57	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	2	14	15.7	16.3	-0.66	15.6	15.0	0.57
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	5	8	15.8	16.1	-0.34	15.9	14.7	1.14
Ryan Gomes	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	11	-4	16.2	15.8	0.43	15.2	15.5	-0.21
Craig Smith	35	34	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	16	-14	16.5	15.6	0.94	14.6	15.8	-1.15
Randy Foye	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	17	-16	13.0	16.3	-3.30	17.1	15.2	1.93
Brian Cook	27	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	21	-24	15.5	16.1	-0.59	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Willie Warren	18	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	22	-26	16.1	15.9	0.15	14.9	15.5	-0.53
Rasual Butler	30	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	20	-22	17.3	15.2	2.09	14.2	15.9	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
HOU 105, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1	95.8%
LAL 89, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	95.5%