NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	6.3 [559]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +36.9%
New Jersey Nets	112		Comeback	1.6 [851]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	25	57%	0.18	3	-0.07	15	100%	0.09
Rodney Carney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	19	49%	0.05	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Steven Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	3	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	11	42%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	6	55%	0.01	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	20	37%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.37	0.37	0.27	0.12	0.03	22	77%	0.42	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.09	0.02	16	56%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.06	0.05	13	69%	0.10	3	-0.11	9	67%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	9	43%	0.02	4	-0.10	3	33%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.0	32.0	15.4	26.0	1.8	40.2	141.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +60.6%

PHI -15.5%

NJN +8.9%

PHI -6.9%

NJN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	15.4	105.9	110.9	104.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	15.3	14.9	11.0	14.4
NJN	16.1	14.7	13.3	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-11	17	12.6	14.7	-2.14	14.6	14.0	0.59
Steven Hunter	29	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-10	15	14.7	14.2	0.45	14.7	13.9	0.78
Steven Smith	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	0.0	14.4	-14.37	21.0	14.1	6.92
Kevin Ollie	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-7	9	15.1	14.2	0.93	14.4	14.1	0.30
Willie Green	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	14.8	13.9	0.86	12.8	15.5	-2.63
Rodney Carney	87	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-6	7	14.0	16.4	-2.39	14.3	13.3	0.96
Samuel Dalembert	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	4	-13	15.4	12.8	2.59	15.1	12.6	2.48
Chris Webber	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	1	-7	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.1	14.4	-0.35
Andre Iguodala	76	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	0	-5	13.9	15.6	-1.69	14.0	14.5	-0.42
Allen Iverson	87	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	9	-23	14.3	15.0	-0.74	13.8	15.9	-2.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	86	87	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-6	17	14.0	14.9	-0.92	14.4	14.3	0.09
Nenad Krstic	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-7	19	14.5	13.1	1.37	14.6	13.7	0.85
Jason Kidd	80	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-4	13	14.0	14.9	-0.89	13.8	16.2	-2.34
Richard Jefferson	81	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	14.1	14.2	-0.06	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Jason Collins	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	4	-3	14.5	13.6	0.91	14.4	14.3	0.11
Eddie House	30	30	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	-1	7	14.3	14.1	0.17	13.6	14.7	-1.04
Mikki Moore	34	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	7	-9	14.1	14.1	-0.00	15.5	13.8	1.66
Marcus Williams	25	26	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	13.8	14.3	-0.52	15.7	13.9	1.84
Hassan Adams	11	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	7	-9	13.6	14.2	-0.57	16.6	14.0	2.56
Josh Boone	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	17.5	14.0	3.49	10.3	14.5	-4.16
Antoine Wright	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	13	-21	13.1	14.4	-1.35	13.2	14.7	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.98,1	95.0%
DEN 78, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 91, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%