NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	4.9 [814]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +11.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.4 [1127]		LVP	Courtney Alexander (WAS): -15.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Loy Vaught	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
David Vanterpool	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	9	35%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	25	63%	0.15	3	-0.03	13	77%	-0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	13	31%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	28.2	15.8	26.0	2.4	25.6	126.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.8%

LAL +3.3%

LAL +19.9%

WAS -0.6%

LAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.5	101.1	114.3	100.9
season	15.2	15.6		98.6	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.2		101.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	18.0	17.0	13.3	15.4
LAL	17.3	14.7	14.3	19.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Smith	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-15	17	13.9	16.0	-2.08	18.5	15.6	2.92
Laron Profit	24	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-13	13	13.2	16.2	-3.05	18.7	15.5	3.13
Popeye Jones	55	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-14	15	15.0	16.1	-1.08	17.6	14.7	2.84
Loy Vaught	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-10	7	13.9	16.6	-2.66	17.0	16.0	1.02
David Vanterpool	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-8	3	15.5	15.3	0.24	16.8	15.9	0.91
Richard Hamilton	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	16.0	14.2	1.80	15.7	17.8	-2.11
Christian Laettner	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	15.7	15.0	0.67	15.9	17.2	-1.33
Jahidi White	27	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	1	-15	17.6	14.5	3.13	15.2	17.0	-1.73
Hubert Davis	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	0	-13	15.5	15.2	0.23	15.2	18.9	-3.65
Courtney Alexander	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	2	-17	16.4	13.9	2.52	15.7	17.5	-1.79

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	53	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-7	27	15.7	17.5	-1.81	16.7	13.6	3.11
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-1	15	15.3	18.0	-2.67	16.4	13.9	2.52
Shaquille O'Neal	73	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	0	13	15.8	18.8	-3.01	15.8	13.6	2.16
Rick Fox	48	47	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	3	7	16.0	16.9	-0.97	16.1	14.7	1.43
Brian Shaw	57	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	7	-1	17.0	15.4	1.61	16.3	14.0	2.29
Isaiah Rider	46	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	8	-3	16.7	16.2	0.47	14.4	16.5	-2.04
Devean George	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	10	-7	16.9	16.0	0.97	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Mike Penberthy	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	12	-11	17.0	16.2	0.75	13.0	16.3	-3.27
Greg Foster	12	10	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	15	-17	21.4	15.7	5.76	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Mark Madsen	44	43	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	18	-23	17.0	15.9	1.04	13.4	17.2	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 78, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAS 83, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%