inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 72 Excitement2.2 [1271] MVPPau Gasol (SAS): +8.1%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback1.1 [1258] LVPJonathon Simmons (ORL): -10.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jonathan Isaac0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.03570%0.053-0.0300%0.00
Mario Hezonja0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.080.00-0.09729%0.012-0.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.04-0.00-0.04939%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02650%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03658%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Khem Birch-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.03633%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Wes Iwundu-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.02633%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Rodney Purvis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.06325%0.013-0.042100%0.01
Nikola Vucevic-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.13-0.01-0.051436%-0.064-0.0200%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.000.05756%-0.033-0.052100%-0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.010.021334%-0.072-0.043100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.01665%0.0800.005100%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.041763%0.071-0.01450%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04868%0.0400.003100%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.070.01-0.10941%0.0330.004100%0.01
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03765%0.0210.00333%-0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01950%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03955%0.0100.002100%0.01
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brandon Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02633%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04475%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.012125%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.531.314.726.32.521.5121.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +36.6%
SAS +4.7%
ORL -3.6%
SAS +11.5%
SAS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSASNBAORLSASNBA
this game15.514.614.775.8112.5107.5
season14.615.5104.2106.7
opponent14.514.5104.1109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.014.614.316.415.5
SAS14.314.213.916.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights3030-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-373815.715.40.2715.714.21.58
Arron Afflalo3030-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-373815.715.40.2715.714.21.58
Khem Birch4142-0.18-0.320.150.00-6-302416.015.10.8914.914.40.50
Wes Iwundu3635-0.18-0.320.15-0.03-5-312616.414.91.5015.114.40.69
Rodney Purvis2828-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-312615.515.50.0314.714.60.05
D.J. Augustin5153-0.23-0.270.040.56-27-9-1815.515.5-0.0614.215.1-0.89
Bismack Biyombo1716-0.25-0.250.010.10-12-241215.315.6-0.2714.614.7-0.10
Nikola Vucevic4850-0.25-0.250.000.48-25-11-1415.515.6-0.0714.015.3-1.31
Jonathan Isaac4850-0.28-0.22-0.060.54-28-8-2015.116.0-0.8714.714.60.11
Mario Hezonja5859-0.31-0.19-0.120.60-31-5-2615.016.4-1.4114.015.7-1.72
Shelvin Mack3937-0.31-0.19-0.130.13-15-21615.915.20.7315.214.30.97
Jonathon Simmons4950-0.32-0.18-0.150.50-28-8-2015.016.0-0.9814.115.2-1.06

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green46440.360.140.21-0.3524121214.414.9-0.5315.715.40.35
Kyle Anderson47440.350.150.21-0.472882014.315.0-0.7215.415.6-0.24
LaMarcus Aldridge53510.340.160.18-0.452791814.714.50.2015.215.8-0.61
Dejounte Murray51480.330.170.16-0.292115614.215.2-1.0015.515.50.05
Patty Mills52510.300.200.09-0.522882014.415.0-0.5715.116.0-0.82
Bryn Forbes44440.200.30-0.09-0.03828-2015.014.40.5716.015.10.82
Pau Gasol29300.180.32-0.14-0.261521-614.414.7-0.3316.315.11.19
Tony Parker38400.170.33-0.16-0.391917214.414.8-0.3315.015.9-0.85
Manu Ginobili28290.140.36-0.21-0.301521-613.815.0-1.2114.615.9-1.39
Rudy Gay36380.120.38-0.26-0.11828-2015.314.21.1015.415.6-0.20
Brandon Paul22220.000.50-0.500.09-339-4216.314.12.1716.415.21.16
Davis Bertans17170.000.50-0.500.15-541-4615.414.50.9316.115.40.66
Joffrey Lauvergne17170.000.50-0.500.15-541-4615.414.50.9316.115.40.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 115, ATL 1460.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
DAL 65, UTA 800.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
CLE 99, TOR 1330.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%