inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 115 Excitement2.5 [1246] MVPAl Horford (ATL): +11.3%
Atlanta Hawks 146 Comeback1.1 [1187] LVPChris Bosh (TOR): -6.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04583%0.0500.002100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.11-0.000.06693%0.071-0.022100%0.00
Jarrett Jack0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.00-0.07750%0.063-0.03250%-0.01
Amir Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.00-0.02664%0.042-0.02250%-0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.130.000.121162%0.0100.001275%-0.01
Marco Belinelli-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.10-0.000.101468%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Sonny Weems-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.081127%-0.0000.00425%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.000.07959%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.05470%-0.011-0.01250%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00225%-0.041-0.02450%-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.220.000.111283%0.1100.00580%-0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.02968%0.0900.00450%-0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.01-0.02775%0.082-0.002100%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.11-0.000.04780%0.081-0.016100%0.03
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.140.000.094133%0.0600.0010%-0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.021150%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02859%0.0210.006100%0.00
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01460%0.0010.002100%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.05764%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.060.000.081067%0.012-0.024100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.06752%-0.0200.00743%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.12.633.014.828.11.730.2141.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +25.1%
ATL +7.1%
ATL +9.2%
ATL +6.3%
ATL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game14.414.815.3117.3147.5106.0
season15.016.0109.6109.4
opponent15.815.5106.0111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.616.013.212.314.4
ATL13.613.417.515.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pops Mensah-Bonsu2421-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-272312.115.2-3.1213.515.1-1.62
DeMar DeRozan6063-0.09-0.410.330.35-15-16115.113.41.7514.315.7-1.45
Andrea Bargnani3742-0.11-0.390.290.19-10-211116.713.13.6416.113.92.21
Hedo Turkoglu3841-0.24-0.260.010.14-13-18517.012.84.1414.814.8-0.07
Amir Johnson3737-0.25-0.250.010.08-11-20914.214.6-0.3116.513.82.65
Jarrett Jack4849-0.25-0.250.000.02-9-221313.215.6-2.3714.615.0-0.37
Sonny Weems6262-0.27-0.23-0.050.20-16-15-113.016.9-3.9215.114.30.80
Rasho Nesterovic5855-0.28-0.22-0.070.16-15-16113.016.6-3.6113.416.5-3.15
Jose Calderon4646-0.30-0.20-0.100.37-23-8-1516.812.44.4215.014.70.30
Chris Bosh2730-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-11-917.313.34.0015.214.60.53
Marco Belinelli5349-0.36-0.14-0.210.20-19-12-712.416.9-4.5314.714.9-0.17

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson54490.350.150.21-0.141714314.015.7-1.7116.612.34.27
Marvin Williams55510.340.160.17-0.342381516.013.32.7516.212.63.58
Jamal Crawford70710.300.200.10-0.201714314.615.3-0.7212.818.7-5.94
Zaza Pachulia40400.280.220.07-0.302011914.115.3-1.2112.915.5-2.64
Joe Smith37390.260.240.02-0.241714315.314.50.8412.715.6-2.94
Mike Bibby44410.260.240.01-0.271813514.914.70.2016.612.93.65
Jeff Teague49530.250.250.01-0.131318-514.215.4-1.1812.716.5-3.79
Josh Smith40380.240.26-0.03-0.261714314.714.9-0.1617.912.25.64
Al Horford44420.220.28-0.07-0.171318-515.514.31.1817.012.54.52
Maurice Evans30330.000.50-0.500.00031-3115.114.70.4311.715.8-4.09
Jason Collins15160.000.50-0.500.06-233-3514.814.80.0011.615.0-3.44
Randolph Morris17170.000.50-0.50-0.06229-2714.214.9-0.7511.915.0-3.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 72, SAS 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
TOR 88, CLE 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CLE 99, TOR 1330.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%