NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	2.5 [1252]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +14.7%
Toronto Raptors	133		Comeback	1.0 [640]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (CLE): -13.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	16	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	79%	0.01	1	0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	43%	0.00	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	4	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	3	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	0.00	-0.05	15	13%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.23	0.01	0.10	11	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	10	70%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	68%	0.05	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.08	15	45%	0.06	3	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	12	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	63%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Malcolm Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.08	13	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	29.5	16.4	34.3	2.8	25.3	137.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.3%

CLE -7.9%

TOR +9.5%

TOR +0.4%

TOR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	14.7	100.0	133.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		111.2	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.9	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	14.5	13.4	14.0	14.4
TOR	15.0	14.3	12.7	16.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-35	36	12.1	14.7	-2.57	15.9	14.4	1.56
Cedi Osman	28	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.15	-7	-27	20	16.0	13.7	2.35	16.0	14.0	1.97
Channing Frye	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-29	24	12.2	15.0	-2.78	15.0	14.5	0.59
Kevin Love	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-24	14	14.1	14.6	-0.50	14.6	14.6	0.00
Tristan Thompson	42	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.36	-18	-16	-2	15.2	13.7	1.49	15.0	14.2	0.84
JR Smith	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.21	-14	-20	6	14.7	13.9	0.75	14.6	14.5	0.08
Dwyane Wade	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.35	-19	-15	-4	15.4	13.8	1.66	14.2	14.8	-0.56
Kyle Korver	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.29	-17	-17	0	13.5	14.9	-1.47	14.9	14.4	0.47
Jeff Green	45	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.32	-22	-12	-10	13.9	14.7	-0.81	14.8	14.4	0.37
Jae Crowder	43	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-17	0	14.2	14.4	-0.21	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Isaiah Thomas	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	-14	-6	14.1	14.7	-0.56	14.2	15.0	-0.85
LeBron James	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	-12	-10	14.8	13.5	1.30	14.0	15.8	-1.83

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	53	50	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.45	29	5	24	14.5	14.7	-0.25	15.3	13.4	1.95
Fred VanVleet	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.46	28	6	22	13.9	15.2	-1.29	15.9	12.9	2.91
Pascal Siakam	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.45	27	7	20	14.3	15.3	-0.97	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Norman Powell	55	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.34	23	11	12	14.5	14.7	-0.14	15.2	13.4	1.84
Lorenzo Brown	40	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.29	19	15	4	15.0	14.3	0.72	14.1	14.5	-0.41
DeMar DeRozan	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	19	-4	14.3	15.0	-0.72	14.5	14.1	0.41
OG Anunoby	56	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	21	-8	14.3	14.9	-0.57	14.8	13.8	0.96
Delon Wright	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	29	-24	15.0	14.3	0.71	13.3	15.0	-1.68
CJ Miles	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	26	-18	14.6	14.6	-0.05	13.1	15.3	-2.23
Jonas Valanciunas	38	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	27	-20	14.5	14.7	-0.19	13.9	14.7	-0.73
Malcolm Miller	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	33	-32	15.8	14.4	1.36	11.7	14.7	-3.06
Lucas Nogueira	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	36	-38	15.8	14.5	1.31	10.5	14.7	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, WAS 137	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
DAL 91, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CLE 99, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%