inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 96 Excitement2.6 [1254] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +12.3%
Washington Wizards 137 Comeback1.1 [1172] LVPDanny Fortson (SEA): -3.8%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.002100%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.02962%0.032-0.028100%0.03
Damien Wilkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02267%0.0000.00250%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.041553%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03250%-0.002-0.01250%0.00
Nick Collison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00262%-0.012-0.00475%-0.00
Ray Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.031447%0.033-0.068100%0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02518%-0.0200.0010%-0.01
Reggie Evans-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.02750%-0.011-0.02633%-0.02
Ronald Murray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.021350%-0.014-0.02250%-0.00
Danny Fortson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.260.000.141682%0.141-0.02786%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.00-0.021458%0.102-0.025100%0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.03771%0.0500.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02567%0.061-0.02580%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.110.000.081663%0.052-0.026100%0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.05586%0.041-0.02450%-0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02362%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01445%0.0100.003100%-0.00
Awvee Storey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.090.000.09672%0.0000.00650%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01456%0.0010.001100%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03150%0.013-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.540.215.426.51.726.2136.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +36.7%
WAS +9.6%
WAS +2.4%
WAS +0.9%
WAS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAWASNBASEAWASNBA
this game15.514.315.699.0142.7104.4
season15.015.1108.9107.4
opponent15.615.8105.5112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA16.613.917.614.515.5
WAS14.011.914.517.614.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mateen Cleaves2627-0.01-0.490.480.43-15-261114.216.0-1.8914.914.10.87
Vladimir Radmanovic3133-0.10-0.400.300.19-10-312115.015.8-0.8412.515.2-2.72
Danny Fortson1414-0.13-0.370.250.02-5-363115.215.6-0.3817.613.73.91
Mikki Moore2827-0.13-0.370.250.20-11-301913.116.5-3.4114.914.10.76
Damien Wilkins2221-0.14-0.360.210.35-17-24714.815.7-0.9316.313.72.54
Nick Collison2525-0.16-0.340.190.19-12-291713.816.2-2.3913.814.5-0.68
Reggie Evans3937-0.17-0.330.170.13-10-312116.315.01.3314.114.4-0.27
Ronald Murray4546-0.26-0.24-0.030.44-24-17-713.817.0-3.2015.213.51.76
Vitaly Potapenko5353-0.32-0.18-0.140.59-31-10-2117.313.43.9314.214.4-0.17
Luke Ridnour6159-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-24716.713.63.0614.014.8-0.78
Rashard Lewis7170-0.35-0.15-0.210.58-32-9-2316.113.92.2013.616.2-2.54
Ray Allen7068-0.41-0.09-0.310.21-21-20-115.914.61.3614.114.8-0.73

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas63620.410.090.33-0.523292314.014.8-0.7915.815.10.70
Caron Butler44460.390.110.29-0.4930111913.315.1-1.8215.815.30.47
Jarvis Hayes52520.350.150.20-0.593292314.314.30.0114.416.8-2.40
Antawn Jamison54560.340.160.18-0.252021-113.415.4-1.9616.514.32.20
Etan Thomas34340.330.170.16-0.402516914.314.3-0.0114.716.0-1.28
Antonio Daniels47470.260.240.02-0.241724-714.713.90.7817.014.22.84
Chucky Atkins45470.150.35-0.19-0.231328-1514.014.6-0.6514.116.9-2.86
Brendan Haywood47480.150.35-0.20-0.06734-2713.714.9-1.1817.014.12.94
Jared Jeffries38370.110.39-0.29-0.04536-3114.414.20.2416.015.20.75
Awvee Storey28280.000.50-0.49-0.351229-1716.113.62.5514.715.9-1.21
Calvin Booth14140.000.50-0.50-0.18635-2917.013.83.1613.515.9-2.38
Andray Blatche14140.000.50-0.50-0.18635-2917.013.83.1613.515.9-2.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 99, TOR 1330.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
SEA 112, BOS 1260.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.6%
WAS 97, LAL 1170.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%