inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 91 Excitement2.2 [1283] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +11.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder 112 Comeback1.2 [1173] LVPElton Brand (DAL): -7.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.15-0.000.111477%0.061-0.022100%0.00
Dominique Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.090.000.09865%0.0000.00771%-0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02750%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021140%-0.0000.003100%0.00
Bernard James-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Darren Collison-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01750%-0.002-0.012100%-0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.0530%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.031138%-0.011-0.024100%0.01
Mike James-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0320%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.120.00-0.071040%0.015-0.0600%0.00
Elton Brand-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.03725%-0.032-0.0420%-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.01-0.031168%0.133-0.01683%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.01-0.08750%0.0720.0020%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.120.000.071271%0.0500.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011659%0.053-0.02989%0.02
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02370%0.0200.00475%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.01767%0.032-0.02475%-0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.00250%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Orton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01939%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.832.215.825.81.826.0129.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +28.6%
OKC +12.3%
DAL -1.6%
OKC +10.6%
OKC +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game14.314.415.491.0110.9104.1
season14.514.8104.3109.3
opponent15.515.6100.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.515.814.313.414.3
OKC13.613.013.917.114.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodrigue Beaubois1820-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-252913.614.5-0.8417.213.63.61
Dominique Jones3130-0.02-0.480.46-0.196-273312.815.0-2.1214.914.10.73
Dahntay Jones1718-0.13-0.370.24-0.254-252913.014.6-1.5714.214.4-0.23
Bernard James5456-0.14-0.360.22-0.264-252914.014.7-0.6515.313.12.21
Elton Brand3130-0.17-0.330.170.04-7-14714.814.10.7313.314.8-1.46
Brandan Wright3333-0.18-0.320.15-0.03-5-161114.214.4-0.1815.513.81.63
Mike James2524-0.22-0.280.060.10-11-10-114.514.20.2914.714.20.52
Darren Collison4951-0.26-0.24-0.030.20-16-5-1115.013.71.2914.014.7-0.64
Shawn Marion5657-0.30-0.20-0.110.25-19-2-1714.713.80.8213.615.4-1.82
Jae Crowder5959-0.35-0.15-0.210.26-210-2114.314.3-0.0314.014.8-0.78
Dirk Nowitzki5657-0.36-0.14-0.220.34-243-2714.613.90.6614.114.7-0.66
O.J. Mayo7170-0.37-0.13-0.230.22-20-1-1914.513.90.5213.715.7-2.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin49490.490.010.48-0.4231-104112.616.0-3.3914.214.4-0.15
Nick Collison31330.330.170.16-0.201831512.615.1-2.4714.514.20.28
Reggie Jackson42410.310.190.120.021011-115.013.91.0214.614.10.57
Russell Westbrook63630.300.200.10-0.171651113.715.4-1.7514.613.70.91
Kevin Durant60590.300.200.10-0.201741314.014.9-0.8415.013.21.79
Thabo Sefolosha53530.230.27-0.04-0.03912-314.014.8-0.8314.114.5-0.36
Hasheem Thabeet23230.200.30-0.10-0.18138513.914.5-0.6314.314.3-0.05
Serge Ibaka59590.190.31-0.12-0.131110113.915.0-1.0214.114.6-0.57
Kendrick Perkins47460.150.35-0.20-0.12912-314.314.4-0.1115.013.71.26
DeAndre Liggins24230.000.50-0.490.12-425-2917.113.53.6313.414.6-1.12
Perry Jones21200.000.50-0.500.23-829-3717.113.63.5212.914.6-1.75
Eric Maynor18170.000.50-0.500.26-930-3917.613.73.8913.114.5-1.42
Daniel Orton15140.000.50-0.500.23-829-3717.913.74.1212.914.5-1.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 99, TOR 1330.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CLE 73, DET 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
SEA 96, WAS 1370.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%