NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	88		Excitement	2.5 [1187]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +20.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Comeback	1.2 [1135]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (TOR): -8.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	12	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	50%	-0.00	4	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Respert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	6	27%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
John Wallace	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	10	52%	-0.01	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.27	0.00	0.08	15	89%	0.20	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	72%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	12	69%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	-0.02	-0.10	5	42%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	6	57%	0.03	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.06	17	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	29.2	15.4	25.5	2.4	23.2	120.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.3%

CLE +6.2%

CLE +13.2%

CLE +4.9%

CLE +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.6	91.7	128.4	102.5
season	15.5	15.4		98.7	99.4
opponent	16.0	14.8		97.0	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	14.6	16.1	17.3	15.7
CLE	16.0	14.2	13.9	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	35	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-31	28	16.0	15.5	0.57	14.6	14.4	0.23
John Wallace	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.25	-13	-21	8	16.7	14.6	2.04	15.2	13.8	1.42
Tracy McGrady	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-25	16	16.1	15.2	0.94	14.9	14.1	0.87
Roy Rogers	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.37	-21	-13	-8	14.5	16.3	-1.85	12.3	15.7	-3.41
Shawn Respert	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-20	6	15.9	15.5	0.36	14.7	14.3	0.45
Oliver Miller	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-17	0	16.1	15.3	0.74	15.8	13.3	2.48
Dee Brown	56	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.24	-19	-15	-4	14.6	17.2	-2.67	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Doug Christie	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.39	-25	-9	-16	15.3	16.3	-0.98	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Chauncey Billups	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	-12	-10	15.9	15.2	0.69	14.2	15.0	-0.73
Marcus Camby	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.42	-27	-7	-20	15.6	15.7	-0.04	14.5	14.4	0.14

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.50	33	1	32	14.8	13.8	1.04	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Cedric Henderson	65	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.28	23	11	12	14.8	13.8	1.00	16.2	14.5	1.65
Shawn Kemp	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	7	20	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.9	15.3	0.59
Brevin Knight	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.37	25	9	16	15.1	13.6	1.46	16.1	15.1	1.01
Wesley Person	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.49	29	5	24	15.1	13.3	1.81	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Bob Sura	39	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	23	-12	14.3	14.6	-0.39	14.7	16.4	-1.74
Derek Anderson	35	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	29	-24	14.9	14.3	0.59	13.4	17.1	-3.68
Vitaly Potapenko	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	24	-14	14.2	14.7	-0.50	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Shawnelle Scott	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	36	-38	14.0	14.6	-0.64	17.3	15.2	2.15
Scott Brooks	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	31	-28	10.9	14.9	-3.97	19.2	15.3	3.91
Carl Thomas	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	31	-28	10.9	14.9	-3.97	19.2	15.3	3.91
Henry James	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	31	-28	10.9	14.9	-3.97	19.2	15.3	3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 115, ATL 146	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 73, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SEA 85, CLE 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%