NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	65		Excitement	2.6 [755]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +5.3%
Utah Jazz	80		Comeback	1.2 [782]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -10.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.14	0.00	-0.12	12	23%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	7	75%	0.01	3	-0.04	10	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	11	18%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	7	46%	-0.04	2	-0.02	10	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	7	28%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	61%	0.06	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	48%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.19	0.00	-0.18	6	14%	-0.01	5	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	8	54%	0.02	5	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	34.2	15.4	25.0	1.8	28.5	131.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.1%

UTA +5.6%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +13.3%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.8	71.4	88.9	99.6
season	15.9	16.4		99.7	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.6		96.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.1	18.1	16.0	12.5	15.9
UTA	16.3	11.9	16.0	19.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-14	13	19.9	15.2	4.73	18.2	15.5	2.74
A.C. Green	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-12	9	20.2	15.3	4.84	18.7	15.5	3.22
Erick Strickland	40	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-15	15	13.8	17.6	-3.83	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Chris Anstey	50	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.19	3	-18	21	14.3	17.9	-3.60	16.4	15.4	0.97
Shawn Bradley	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-8	1	19.8	15.0	4.81	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Michael Finley	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-9	3	17.1	15.5	1.60	16.3	15.8	0.57
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-11	7	15.0	18.7	-3.77	17.2	12.1	5.12
Samaki Walker	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-14	13	15.4	16.6	-1.22	16.3	15.3	0.94
Hot Rod Williams	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-1	-13	15.9	16.0	-0.07	14.1	17.7	-3.53
Hubert Davis	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	0	-15	16.0	15.7	0.33	15.7	16.3	-0.66
Gary Trent	27	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	4	-23	18.1	15.0	3.06	13.1	17.1	-3.98
Robert Pack	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-7	-1	15.8	16.0	-0.16	15.6	16.2	-0.60

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	55	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-7	29	14.4	18.3	-3.90	17.1	14.1	3.00
Greg Ostertag	50	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	-6	27	14.1	18.1	-3.96	19.0	12.2	6.83
Howard Eisley	67	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	3	9	15.2	18.0	-2.76	15.1	18.5	-3.40
John Stockton	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	0	15	14.9	17.0	-2.15	18.3	13.5	4.77
Adam Keefe	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	14	-13	15.7	16.0	-0.30	15.2	16.4	-1.11
Bryon Russell	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	5	5	16.8	14.1	2.75	16.1	15.6	0.52
Shandon Anderson	44	44	0.21	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	3	9	16.2	15.6	0.55	16.5	15.3	1.21
Greg Foster	26	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	16	-17	18.2	15.0	3.17	13.9	16.8	-2.95
Todd Fuller	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	22	-29	18.2	14.3	3.92	13.2	17.7	-4.56
Chris King	15	16	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.7	15.7	0.92	11.2	16.9	-5.75
Jacque Vaughn	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	20	-25	19.1	15.2	3.85	12.6	16.6	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, CHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ORL 72, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NJN 71, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%