NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	8.5 [196]		MVP	Ian Clark (NOP): +25.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	119		Comeback	4.1 [426]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -33.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25	0.15	0.13	0.04	13	78%	0.28	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	9	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Dwight Howard	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	12	71%	0.16	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	54%	0.11	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Treveon Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dwayne Bacon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33	0.02	-0.32	0.04	20	54%	-0.15	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.00	6	86%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,0.01,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.16	0.02	21	60%	0.39	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	26	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	13	46%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	24.4	14.7	22.2	2.3	30.9	121.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +42.3%

CHA -24.9%

NOP +19.4%

NOP +11.3%

NOP +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	14.5	12.4	14.7	106.5	112.3	107.5
season	14.6	13.6		108.7	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.5		107.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	14.0	14.6	13.6	14.5
NOP	11.1	10.8	13.1	14.6	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	52	53	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-11	18	13.6	15.4	-1.85	12.8	11.9	0.87
Marvin Williams	44	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.07	4	-8	12	15.1	14.1	1.01	12.5	12.3	0.18
Dwayne Bacon	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-3	2	12.0	14.8	-2.80	9.5	12.7	-3.16
Malik Monk	28	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-3	2	15.2	14.3	0.96	11.1	12.9	-1.76
Treveon Graham	32	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	3	-10	15.1	14.3	0.79	11.1	12.9	-1.83
Nicolas Batum	93	91	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-5	6	14.5	14.7	-0.23	12.5	11.5	1.04
Dwight Howard	76	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-5	6	14.3	15.1	-0.79	12.9	11.1	1.83
Frank Kaminsky	64	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	14.1	15.1	-1.01	12.3	12.5	-0.18
Kemba Walker	86	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	0	-4	14.5	14.7	-0.24	12.9	10.5	2.35
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	55	52	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.28	-14	10	-24	15.7	13.4	2.31	12.1	12.6	-0.51

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	86	87	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-5	14	12.2	13.2	-1.10	15.0	12.5	2.50
Rajon Rondo	80	82	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-6	16	12.2	12.7	-0.44	15.0	13.0	2.08
Jrue Holiday	82	86	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	0	4	12.9	10.5	2.35	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Nikola Mirotic	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-1	6	12.2	12.6	-0.34	14.0	15.6	-1.65
E'Twaun Moore	72	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	4	-4	12.5	12.1	0.35	14.3	15.0	-0.62
Ian Clark	48	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	2	0	11.8	12.8	-1.04	14.4	14.6	-0.22
DeAndre Liggins	13	13	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	10.2	12.7	-2.51	16.0	14.3	1.66
Emeka Okafor	56	59	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	10	-16	12.8	11.8	0.98	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Darius Miller	23	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	11	-18	12.9	12.2	0.71	12.9	15.0	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.39,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.67,0.96,1	91.2%
SEA 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	91.2%
ATL 90, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.97,1,1	91.1%