NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	8.0 [205]		MVP	Steve Blake (LAL): +20.2%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	2.5 [499]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -51.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	-0.00	9	78%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.09	0.06	-0.03	12	53%	0.18	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.51	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.36,-0.36,-0.53,-0.51	-0.31	-0.26	-0.05	28	27%	-0.21	6	-0.30	4	75%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.00	16	51%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.08	0.00	6	86%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	7	65%	0.12	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	52%	0.10	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	7	60%	0.08	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.4	29.5	16.3	25.5	2.4	36.6	141.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.9%

DEN +13.4%

LAL -6.3%

DEN +6.2%

DEN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	13.1	15.6	90.0	100.0	102.8
season	16.2	14.5		103.8	107.5
opponent	15.8	15.1		104.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	16.0	15.2	16.4	15.8
DEN	13.2	14.0	12.5	12.9	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	25	23	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-16	23	15.2	16.0	-0.85	14.1	12.8	1.24
Derek Fisher	45	42	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.08	3	-12	15	15.4	16.1	-0.69	13.2	13.1	0.10
Andrew Bynum	61	59	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.23	9	-18	27	15.1	16.9	-1.76	13.0	13.3	-0.37
Matt Barnes	47	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-7	5	15.6	15.9	-0.31	13.5	12.8	0.68
Josh McRoberts	29	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-6	3	17.3	15.2	2.13	13.5	13.0	0.54
Troy Murphy	33	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	3	-15	15.5	15.9	-0.43	14.0	12.7	1.29
Metta World Peace	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	1	-11	15.9	15.6	0.31	12.6	13.8	-1.21
Pau Gasol	75	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	-1	-7	15.9	15.4	0.48	13.1	13.2	-0.15
Steve Blake	55	57	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	3	-15	16.1	15.4	0.69	13.1	13.2	-0.10
Kobe Bryant	77	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.25	-17	8	-25	16.0	15.2	0.81	12.7	14.9	-2.19

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	76	75	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.39	15	-6	21	12.4	15.6	-3.23	15.4	17.1	-1.76
Ty Lawson	78	76	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-9	27	12.6	15.2	-2.61	16.1	15.0	1.11
Danilo Gallinari	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-2	13	12.5	15.5	-2.98	15.6	16.7	-1.13
Andre Miller	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-6	21	12.6	14.0	-1.34	16.2	15.2	0.99
Chris Andersen	39	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-8	25	14.5	12.2	2.24	15.9	15.7	0.16
Nene	45	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	10	-11	12.8	13.4	-0.61	16.4	15.2	1.18
Rudy Fernandez	29	32	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	15	-21	14.9	12.4	2.55	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Timofey Mozgov	26	28	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.09	-14	23	-37	14.2	12.8	1.39	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	62	63	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.12	-10	19	-29	14.2	11.4	2.76	15.7	16.0	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.76,0.85,1	91.5%
NYK 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	91.3%
CHI 88, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.72,1	91.2%