NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	7.5 [297]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +15.7%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	2.2 [537]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -11.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	14	56%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	16	65%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.01	17	58%	-0.00	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	21	56%	0.24	3	-0.10	8	87%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.06	-0.02	4	108%	0.29	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.04
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	68%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	14	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	27.2	15.7	23.8	2.6	40.6	135.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +52.9%

WAS +11.9%

POR -18.8%

WAS +6.9%

POR -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.3	107.0	111.5	106.0
season	16.7	15.7		108.8	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.9	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.6	15.8	14.4	19.5	17.0
WAS	19.3	16.2	16.9	13.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	32	30	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.12	-4	-1	-3	14.4	18.5	-4.08	14.6	17.2	-2.59
Steve Blake	45	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	15.8	18.3	-2.54	14.1	18.5	-4.48
Dante Cunningham	10	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	3	-11	15.8	17.1	-1.32	10.9	17.2	-6.28
Rudy Fernandez	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	2	-9	16.9	17.0	-0.06	13.3	17.6	-4.26
Andre Miller	51	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.42	5	-10	15	17.7	15.9	1.77	18.0	13.8	4.22
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-6	7	17.1	15.8	1.32	17.0	11.5	5.58
Martell Webster	78	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-6	7	16.7	19.9	-3.21	16.6	12.8	3.76
Juwan Howard	54	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-6	7	18.5	14.4	4.08	17.4	14.3	3.12
Jerryd Bayless	57	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	17.7	15.5	2.18	17.5	14.0	3.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	70	68	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-7	19	16.6	15.3	1.29	17.9	13.5	4.38
Caron Butler	73	73	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-5	15	16.8	14.0	2.78	17.9	11.8	6.12
Antawn Jamison	78	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	16.2	17.6	-1.36	17.4	14.0	3.36
Mike Miller	44	45	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-4	13	14.8	17.9	-3.11	16.3	17.7	-1.42
Brendan Haywood	66	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	17.4	13.1	4.27	17.2	16.1	1.15
DeShawn Stevenson	36	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	7	-9	18.6	14.8	3.79	17.7	16.5	1.22
Andray Blatche	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	4	-3	15.7	16.6	-0.91	15.7	17.5	-1.78
Dominic McGuire	3	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	3.0	16.8	-13.81	4.0	17.1	-13.12
Earl Boykins	31	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	9	-13	15.0	17.1	-2.07	14.9	18.1	-3.17
Nick Young	7	6	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.06	-10	15	-25	13.3	16.6	-3.31	6.7	17.7	-11.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	92.3%
MIN 74, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	91.6%
LAL 90, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.67,0.96,1	91.5%