NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	5.8 [611]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +60.6%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	3.9 [370]		LVP	Christian Laettner (ATL): -11.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	10	77%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	15	66%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	15	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ivano Newbill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.06	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	16	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.61,0.61	0.61	0.23	0.38	0.00	11	114%	0.72	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	11	92%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	15	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	21.2	15.6	23.3	1.7	30.3	116.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +58.0%

ATL -4.6%

DET +9.3%

ATL -15.4%

DET +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	19.0	15.6	109.8	125.0	104.4
season	16.4	17.1		105.3	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.0		102.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	18.7	14.3	17.6	16.6
DET	15.8	19.2	21.0	20.3	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivano Newbill	31	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-9	8	17.6	16.0	1.54	20.5	18.1	2.42
Willie Burton	18	18	-0.09	-0.42	0.33	-0.00	-3	-7	4	20.7	15.5	5.18	19.6	18.8	0.84
Eldridge Recasner	26	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-5	0	19.2	15.4	3.71	19.4	18.8	0.65
Steven Smith	71	68	-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	15.7	22.5	-6.74	18.3	22.7	-4.46
Tyrone Corbin	64	62	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	15.5	20.7	-5.18	18.8	19.6	-0.84
Christian Laettner	78	77	-0.46	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-3	-4	15.9	30.5	-14.59	18.9	21.0	-2.12
Mookie Blaylock	67	68	-0.47	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-3	-4	16.6	16.7	-0.14	19.5	16.1	3.39
Dikembe Mutombo	55	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	2	-14	17.1	15.7	1.42	18.3	20.5	-2.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	76	77	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.28	14	-4	18	18.8	21.5	-2.67	16.5	18.2	-1.68
Joe Dumars	66	67	0.64	-0.13	0.77	0.17	16	-6	22	18.5	21.0	-2.47	16.9	15.5	1.41
Lindsey Hunter	72	74	0.51	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	1	8	19.3	16.0	3.29	16.4	19.0	-2.64
Terry Mills	39	40	0.46	0.05	0.41	0.20	9	1	8	19.7	18.2	1.47	17.5	15.8	1.71
Grant Long	51	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	7	-4	19.3	18.4	0.91	16.1	17.5	-1.39
Otis Thorpe	60	63	0.14	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	9	-8	18.9	19.1	-0.25	15.3	21.0	-5.70
Stacey Augmon	14	14	0.11	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	6	-2	18.3	19.1	-0.82	21.0	15.7	5.28
Rick Mahorn	13	13	0.04	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	8	-6	17.9	19.2	-1.24	21.3	15.7	5.57
Michael Curry	9	12	-0.29	0.80	-1.09	-0.06	-8	18	-26	18.4	19.0	-0.58	13.5	17.2	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.0%
GSW 79, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.97,1	91.9%
NOP 118, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	91.8%