inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 79 Excitement7.3 [395] MVPBrandon Rush (GSW): +15.8%
San Antonio Spurs 87 Comeback1.6 [746] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -13.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Rush0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.090.090.02683%0.1600.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.00475%0.111-0.05475%0.01
James Michael McAdoo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02-0.030.03-0.031040%0.101-0.0800%0.00
Ian Clark0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.0010%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.041834%-0.042-0.045100%0.04
Draymond Green-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.08-0.011052%-0.003-0.0910%-0.01
Klay Thompson-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.012037%-0.052-0.0900%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.09-0.001045%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.040.04787%0.122-0.052100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.00590%0.113-0.1000%0.00
Kevin Martin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.011450%0.094-0.10887%0.04
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.03837%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02125%-0.022-0.02250%-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.05-0.012548%0.052-0.094100%0.03
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.428.517.326.43.631.5136.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +6.6%
SAS +5.7%
SAS +47.1%
GSW -9.4%
SAS +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game14.918.014.989.8100.0105.1
season13.715.7112.3109.0
opponent14.715.197.9102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW11.517.015.716.514.9
SAS15.218.118.621.418.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights21210.21-0.710.93-0.059-172613.115.4-2.2918.417.90.50
Leandro Barbosa25250.18-0.680.87-0.058-162414.315.1-0.8519.817.32.46
Shaun Livingston39360.00-0.500.50-0.062-101215.114.80.3019.517.02.48
James Michael McAdoo1413-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-7617.914.33.6222.417.35.10
Brandon Rush5152-0.21-0.290.08-0.10-4-4014.415.5-1.0817.319.1-1.79
Ian Clark1210-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-80-818.414.34.0917.018.2-1.18
Draymond Green7373-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-7614.417.3-2.9517.521.1-3.69
Anderson Varejao1110-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.04-124-1619.014.34.7016.718.2-1.52
Stephen Curry6767-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-102-1215.114.30.7918.416.91.42
Klay Thompson7272-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-6-2-414.317.4-3.0417.321.7-4.46
Harrison Barnes5556-0.700.20-0.90-0.20-179-2614.914.80.1117.618.8-1.13

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Boris Diaw63630.74-0.240.970.1520-123218.217.60.5815.613.22.36
Danny Green59590.64-0.140.790.0620-123217.519.2-1.7815.014.70.24
Tony Parker54540.62-0.120.740.3011-31417.419.0-1.5914.415.6-1.14
LaMarcus Aldridge67690.61-0.110.720.2612-41617.819.0-1.2414.914.9-0.01
Kawhi Leonard72740.55-0.050.600.3571617.023.1-6.1514.417.2-2.77
Patty Mills35350.090.41-0.330.0908-820.216.63.6515.714.31.42
Tim Duncan1516-0.040.54-0.580.05-311-1417.118.2-1.1014.215.0-0.85
Kevin Martin56-0.120.62-0.73-0.06-210-1217.018.1-1.1118.314.63.70
David West1312-0.180.68-0.86-0.03-513-1822.917.25.7315.414.80.61
Kyle Anderson2019-0.190.69-0.890.10-1018-2817.318.3-0.9012.715.5-2.81
Manu Ginobili3233-0.220.72-0.930.08-1018-2819.417.22.2015.114.80.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.97,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 83, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.98,193.5%
BOS 96, IND 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,192.6%
NOH 84, IND 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.94,1,192.6%