NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	110		Excitement	5.8 [682]		MVP	Michael Beasley (NYK): +16.8%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	2.2 [627]		LVP	Enes Kanter (NYK): -12.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	1	117%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Yogi Ferrell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameel Warney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.04	7	53%	0.06	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.04	19	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	19	42%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	13	78%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	9	84%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	17	53%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	9	56%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	39%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	4	30%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	26.3	13.7	24.6	1.7	30.0	124.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.1%

DAL +4.4%

DAL +7.7%

DAL +17.8%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	14.1	14.7	113.4	101.0	107.5
season	15.4	14.9		105.3	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		109.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	15.3	13.9	17.5	15.7
NYK	14.3	16.7	13.3	12.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.03	17	-4	21	15.2	17.0	-1.87	14.4	13.4	1.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	61	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-5	23	15.4	16.2	-0.80	14.8	12.9	1.93
Nerlens Noel	41	38	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	3	7	15.3	16.0	-0.70	14.8	13.7	1.07
Yogi Ferrell	58	56	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	6	1	15.0	16.8	-1.84	14.2	13.9	0.33
Dorian Finney-Smith	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	4	5	15.9	15.6	0.26	15.2	13.3	1.90
Doug McDermott	57	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	9	-5	15.6	15.9	-0.26	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Kyle Collinsworth	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	8	-3	16.1	15.4	0.69	13.0	15.2	-2.14
Dirk Nowitzki	44	45	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	12	-11	16.6	15.0	1.67	13.8	14.4	-0.51
J.J. Barea	42	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	15	-17	16.4	15.2	1.25	13.3	14.7	-1.35
Jameel Warney	22	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	17.0	15.4	1.59	13.2	14.4	-1.24
Dwight Powell	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	15	-17	15.1	15.9	-0.83	13.5	14.3	-0.73

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	18	19	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-18	23	14.3	14.1	0.20	15.8	15.7	0.08
Lance Thomas	44	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-10	7	14.3	14.0	0.33	16.6	15.0	1.67
Courtney Lee	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-10	7	14.0	14.2	-0.17	16.3	15.4	0.88
Trey Burke	30	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-12	11	12.0	15.1	-3.03	16.5	15.4	1.12
Enes Kanter	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	15.2	13.3	1.90	16.1	15.5	0.60
Frank Ntilikina	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-8	3	13.9	14.3	-0.41	14.1	16.6	-2.47
Troy Williams	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	14.7	13.6	1.16	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Kyle O'Quinn	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-8	3	13.8	14.3	-0.50	15.7	15.7	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-2	-9	15.2	13.0	2.22	16.3	15.1	1.23
Michael Beasley	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	-3	-7	13.4	15.7	-2.31	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Tim Hardaway Jr.	78	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.07	-18	5	-23	14.1	14.3	-0.20	15.7	15.8	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 112, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0,0	94.5%
HOU 96, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.06,0,0	94.0%
ORL 92, DET 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%