NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	4.3 [591]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (ORL): +13.9%
Detroit Pistons	77		Comeback	2.8 [78]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -21.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.00	-0.04	17	73%	0.21	4	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Derek Strong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	62%	0.10	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Miles Simon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	71%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Doleac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dominique Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	59%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Ike Austin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	58%	-0.00	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	62%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	4	60%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	11	25%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.07	0.02	14	56%	-0.03	8	-0.19	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	29.6	16.5	28.3	1.5	26.4	127.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.5%

ORL +1.7%

ORL +5.3%

ORL +7.9%

ORL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.8	102.2	85.6	99.6
season	16.1	16.6		98.0	101.4
opponent	16.1	15.6		97.9	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	17.4	13.3	17.7	16.2
DET	15.0	16.9	18.8	13.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	83	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-5	25	15.6	23.0	-7.42	16.4	10.6	5.73
Matt Harpring	64	66	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-2	19	16.0	16.5	-0.54	15.7	16.3	-0.67
Ike Austin	63	63	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-3	21	16.0	16.4	-0.41	15.8	16.0	-0.28
Horace Grant	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	6	3	14.9	17.9	-3.04	17.0	14.2	2.76
Darrell Armstrong	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	13	-11	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.1	15.3	0.75
Derek Strong	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	9	-3	17.9	14.9	3.04	14.2	17.0	-2.76
B.J. Armstrong	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.18	10	5	5	16.5	16.0	0.55	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Dominique Wilkins	27	25	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	17	-19	16.0	16.2	-0.17	15.9	15.8	0.05
Miles Simon	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	22.7	15.8	6.90	6.2	16.4	-10.21
Michael Doleac	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	16	-17	17.6	15.6	2.06	16.8	15.5	1.38

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loy Vaught	13	13	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-19	23	15.2	16.0	-0.81	15.8	16.2	-0.45
Don Reid	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-13	11	17.0	15.3	1.65	15.6	16.4	-0.88
Khalid Reeves	18	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-20	25	13.9	16.3	-2.44	16.9	16.0	0.87
Jud Buechler	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-14	13	14.2	17.5	-3.28	17.0	15.2	1.82
Lindsey Hunter	61	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	0	-15	16.3	14.9	1.40	16.1	16.3	-0.27
Eric Montross	24	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.15	-3	-12	9	15.6	15.9	-0.36	17.7	15.6	2.08
Bison Dele	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	-15	0	-15	16.1	15.2	0.89	16.4	15.7	0.69
Grant Hill	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	2	-19	16.3	14.5	1.78	14.9	19.5	-4.60
Joe Dumars	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	4	-23	16.8	13.1	3.65	15.6	17.8	-2.24
Jerome Williams	51	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	1	-17	15.5	16.2	-0.68	16.2	16.1	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 102, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
NYK 110, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%