NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	4.8 [833]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +11.7%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	3.7 [113]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -16.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Langhi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	24	44%	-0.03	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	19	50%	-0.02	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	11	77%	0.16	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	13	53%	0.06	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	55%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	18	33%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	29.2	15.5	11.6	1.6	29.2	112.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +2.3%

PHX +6.0%

PHX +15.1%

PHX +20.9%

PHX +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.5	108.5	92.6	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.1	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.4	16.5	14.4	17.4	16.2
ATL	14.2	12.8	15.0	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.05	23	-9	32	15.7	17.7	-2.01	14.5	13.7	0.77
Dan Langhi	37	36	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.02	19	-5	24	15.0	16.9	-1.89	14.8	14.0	0.74
Shawn Marion	81	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	2	10	16.1	16.8	-0.78	14.0	16.5	-2.58
Stephon Marbury	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	0	14	15.6	17.4	-1.79	13.7	15.8	-2.18
Anfernee Hardaway	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	-1	16	15.0	17.6	-2.60	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Joe Johnson	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	13	-12	18.0	14.7	3.39	15.9	13.0	2.89
Casey Jacobsen	29	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	14	-14	17.4	15.6	1.85	15.3	13.9	1.44
Jake Voskuhl	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	15	-16	4.2	16.7	-12.45	10.0	14.5	-4.51
Alton Ford	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	5.7	16.5	-10.85	12.0	14.4	-2.39
Scott Williams	15	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	14	-14	20.7	15.3	5.35	15.9	14.0	1.95
Bo Outlaw	57	59	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	19	-24	16.9	15.0	1.89	14.0	14.8	-0.74
Jake Tsakalidis	9	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	21	-28	19.7	15.8	3.87	14.7	14.3	0.39

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	20	21	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-19	24	15.5	14.0	1.56	18.1	15.6	2.54
Matt Maloney	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	12.0	14.4	-2.39	5.7	16.5	-10.85
Theo Ratliff	64	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-13	12	14.3	14.3	0.09	16.8	15.1	1.71
Dion Glover	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-15	16	16.1	13.4	2.77	17.3	15.5	1.79
Nazr Mohammed	6	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-7	0	11.0	14.5	-3.54	13.4	16.4	-2.96
Glenn Robinson	81	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-8	2	14.0	16.1	-2.06	16.0	17.0	-0.99
Emanual Davis	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-5	-4	14.1	14.5	-0.33	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Alan Henderson	22	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-7	0	15.5	14.0	1.48	16.8	16.0	0.81
Jason Terry	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-4	-6	14.1	14.9	-0.77	16.3	15.7	0.61
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	5	-24	13.9	16.4	-2.55	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Ira Newble	57	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	4	-22	14.2	14.4	-0.18	14.9	18.1	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
ORL 92, DET 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHI 93, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0	94.6%