NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	88		Excitement	4.7 [910]		MVP	Garrett Temple (SAC): +26.1%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.0 [1030]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -14.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.05	15	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Purvis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	13	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.06	-0.01	10	92%	0.28	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.01	12	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	11	56%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jack Cooley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	12	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.18	0.01	-0.04	12	26%	-0.02	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	8	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	25.7	14.0	26.1	2.4	25.6	120.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.5%

SAC +5.2%

SAC +23.7%

ORL -5.5%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAC	NBA	ORL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	14.7	93.6	100.0	107.5
season	14.6	15.4		104.2	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	15.2	16.4	14.0	15.5
SAC	13.7	13.6	14.2	19.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Purvis	20	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	17.5	15.0	2.59	15.9	14.9	0.96
Bismack Biyombo	28	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-8	10	16.6	15.0	1.61	16.7	14.5	2.26
Khem Birch	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	14.5	15.8	-1.30	14.0	15.5	-1.44
Wes Iwundu	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-5	4	16.0	15.1	0.96	15.7	14.7	0.96
Shelvin Mack	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	0	-6	15.9	15.0	0.86	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Jonathan Isaac	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-4	2	14.8	16.3	-1.54	15.0	15.3	-0.24
D.J. Augustin	54	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-5	4	15.0	16.2	-1.16	15.4	14.7	0.70
Jonathon Simmons	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	15.0	17.0	-2.08	14.8	16.0	-1.23
Nikola Vucevic	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	2	-10	15.0	16.6	-1.61	14.5	16.7	-2.26
Mario Hezonja	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	16.2	14.2	1.97	15.1	15.1	0.04

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-6	18	14.4	18.1	-3.67	15.6	15.2	0.43
Garrett Temple	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-7	20	13.9	17.4	-3.49	15.9	14.8	1.11
Justin Jackson	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-6	18	14.6	15.9	-1.28	16.3	14.3	2.00
Skal Labissiere	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	-7	20	13.6	16.5	-2.89	17.1	14.2	2.87
Bogdan Bogdanovic	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	5	-4	15.5	14.7	0.75	16.0	15.0	1.03
Frank Mason	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	8	-10	16.1	13.9	2.26	14.7	16.5	-1.82
Vince Carter	55	54	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.40	-9	15	-24	16.4	13.3	3.11	14.1	17.4	-3.29
Buddy Hield	59	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.27	-6	12	-18	15.7	14.2	1.52	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Jack Cooley	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	18.6	14.5	4.13	15.7	15.5	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 79, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
DEN 102, ORL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%