NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	79		Excitement	4.5 [879]		MVP	Danny Ferry (SAS): +10.6%
San Antonio Spurs	86		Comeback	1.0 [1053]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -17.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	8	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	61%	0.01	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	10	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Karl Malone	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.19	-0.02	-0.03	19	37%	-0.06	6	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	4	89%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Sean Elliott	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	30.3	16.3	25.6	1.7	26.3	125.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.7%

SAS +1.8%

SAS +2.7%

SAS +13.0%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.5	86.8	95.6	100.9
season	16.0	15.9		105.3	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		96.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	15.9	15.8	14.4	15.5
SAS	14.2	16.1	16.2	19.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Benoit	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-11	15	11.0	15.5	-4.53	15.0	16.4	-1.38
DeShawn Stevenson	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-15	23	14.0	15.8	-1.82	18.2	15.9	2.26
Danny Manning	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-15	23	15.6	15.4	0.28	17.5	15.5	1.99
Greg Ostertag	39	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-9	11	14.8	16.0	-1.12	15.4	17.0	-1.55
Donyell Marshall	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-13	19	15.0	16.0	-1.02	17.3	15.4	1.98
Quincy Lewis	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	16.7	15.2	1.54	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Jacque Vaughn	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-12	17	14.5	16.1	-1.62	15.0	17.2	-2.15
John Stockton	57	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	5	-17	16.1	14.5	1.62	17.2	15.0	2.15
Bryon Russell	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	4	-15	16.1	14.3	1.81	16.1	16.9	-0.80
John Starks	44	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	5	-17	15.3	15.7	-0.41	15.5	17.1	-1.68
Olden Polynice	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	8	-23	16.4	15.0	1.42	16.6	16.2	0.34
Karl Malone	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	6	-19	15.4	15.8	-0.44	16.2	17.1	-0.96

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	81	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-4	15	16.2	17.3	-1.10	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Danny Ferry	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-2	11	16.3	16.4	-0.17	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Derek Anderson	56	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-6	19	16.1	16.7	-0.53	16.0	14.6	1.42
David Robinson	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-1	9	16.7	15.8	0.93	16.3	14.1	2.18
Avery Johnson	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	3	1	16.6	15.9	0.72	15.8	15.1	0.72
Malik Rose	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	7	-7	15.8	16.8	-0.99	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Antonio Daniels	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	4	-1	15.9	16.6	-0.72	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Terry Porter	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	13	-19	16.7	16.1	0.53	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Sean Elliott	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	9	-11	16.4	16.3	0.17	15.5	15.4	0.10
Samaki Walker	2	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	22.0	16.2	5.78	10.0	15.6	-5.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 89, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
UTA 99, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.8%
ORL 88, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%