inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 119 Excitement9.0 [149] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +19.6%
Denver Nuggets 122 Comeback1.6 [724] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -12.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.200,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.20.190.00-0.002363%0.2000.001486%0.10
Joffrey Lauvergne0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.070.00662%0.1200.0010%-0.03
Tony Parker0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.00960%0.1200.002100%0.02
Patty Mills0.050,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.050.11-0.040.021370%0.091-0.03475%0.01
Rudy Gay0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00450%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Brandon Paul0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.040.04-0.070.02467%-0.0400.00450%-0.02
Bryn Forbes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.01-0.10-0.00960%0.083-0.172100%0.01
Pau Gasol-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.00-0.070.02755%-0.042-0.05862%-0.03
Manu Ginobili-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.00621%-0.081-0.02250%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.090.011068%0.222-0.062100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.120.120.14-0.020.001672%0.273-0.15771%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.120.120.060.070.011666%0.274-0.15367%-0.03
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.080.080.060.020.00960%0.0800.002100%0.01
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.040.011656%0.0300.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.021146%0.041-0.0320%-0.06
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.00720%-0.0400.001100%0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.09-0.011137%-0.091-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.828.514.829.20.235.0134.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +54.8%
SAS -9.7%
DEN +35.7%
SAS -15.1%
SAS -15.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game15.214.214.7122.7123.2107.5
season15.514.7106.7111.2
opponent14.714.5109.9104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.115.015.514.315.2
DEN13.915.713.913.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davis Bertans29310.17-0.670.83-0.078-111913.016.2-3.2015.813.52.35
Brandon Paul010.03-0.530.560.030-330.015.2-15.218.014.3-6.26
Joffrey Lauvergne1011-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-2112.415.5-3.1312.514.4-1.85
Rudy Gay3939-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-2115.015.3-0.3414.214.20.02
Patty Mills6768-0.12-0.380.27-0.358-111914.816.1-1.2514.513.50.98
Kyle Anderson5858-0.16-0.340.17-0.408-111914.815.8-0.9814.613.70.87
Dejounte Murray4848-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-41-515.614.90.7113.814.6-0.78
Pau Gasol6062-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.301-4515.714.41.3413.814.9-1.12
Manu Ginobili4243-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-118-1915.215.2-0.0714.314.10.28
LaMarcus Aldridge7171-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.432-5716.112.73.3814.513.51.01
Bryn Forbes1414-0.530.03-0.550.03-1916-3516.814.91.8510.614.8-4.13
Tony Parker4749-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-63-915.614.90.7114.214.2-0.02

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Lyles44410.91-0.411.310.5811-81914.114.3-0.2214.116.0-1.84
Gary Harris74720.430.070.370.324-1513.915.0-1.1315.713.81.89
Jamal Murray68680.410.090.310.3230314.513.41.1216.213.03.20
Nikola Jokic68690.220.28-0.07-0.059-61514.313.90.4216.312.53.80
Mason Plumlee44420.210.29-0.080.33-47-1114.314.10.1914.615.7-1.04
Will Barton66650.200.30-0.110.1130314.314.00.2415.115.5-0.39
Wilson Chandler78770.150.35-0.200.27-47-1114.015.0-1.0915.613.62.02
Devin Harris37360.040.46-0.410.13-36-914.314.10.1712.716.7-3.95
Malik Beasley1615-0.060.56-0.630.05-47-1114.114.2-0.1512.415.7-3.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.72,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 101, DET 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,194.5%
IND 94, MIN 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,191.3%
PHX 106, OKC 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.72,191.1%