NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	126		Excitement	5.7 [718]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): +35.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	2.9 [552]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -22.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.18	0.16	-0.02	12	81%	0.36	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	7	70%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	10	54%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
James Harden	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.26	0.03	0.18	20	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.29	0.05	0.07	16	85%	0.29	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.04
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.05	-0.01	15	76%	0.27	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.07	-0.04	13	42%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	8	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.06	0.02	14	22%	-0.19	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	26.4	14.5	32.5	2.5	26.6	130.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.1%

MIN -4.8%

MIN -7.3%

HOU +12.5%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	14.7	137.0	117.4	107.5
season	14.6	15.3		112.8	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.8		110.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	13.5	12.5	17.0	14.7
MIN	14.0	18.4	17.5	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.11	22	-4	26	14.5	15.3	-0.85	17.2	15.2	1.91
Luc Mbah a Moute	55	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	3	12	14.8	14.7	0.09	17.6	15.2	2.34
PJ Tucker	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	4	10	14.9	14.5	0.42	17.0	16.0	1.04
Ryan Anderson	49	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	6	6	15.1	14.3	0.89	15.9	17.4	-1.47
James Harden	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	7	4	14.7	14.7	0.04	16.7	16.3	0.38
Gerald Green	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	12	-6	14.6	14.8	-0.19	15.3	17.4	-2.13
Clint Capela	51	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	21	-24	14.4	15.1	-0.67	17.4	15.7	1.67
Eric Gordon	57	59	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	13	-8	15.2	13.9	1.36	15.5	18.5	-3.07
Nene	26	28	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	10	-2	13.7	15.1	-1.39	16.1	16.8	-0.67

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	64	66	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-22	26	16.1	17.6	-1.43	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Aaron Brooks	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	13.0	16.7	-3.66	15.0	14.7	0.28
Cole Aldrich	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	17.0	16.6	0.43	10.0	14.8	-4.78
Karl-Anthony Towns	66	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-14	10	17.0	15.5	1.45	14.9	14.2	0.67
Jeff Teague	74	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-15	12	16.2	18.0	-1.77	14.9	14.0	0.91
Nemanja Bjelica	24	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-8	-2	16.9	16.5	0.40	14.7	14.7	-0.04
Tyus Jones	18	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-3	-12	18.0	16.2	1.77	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Gorgui Dieng	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-6	-6	15.5	17.0	-1.51	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Jimmy Butler	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-9	0	16.7	16.3	0.36	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Jamal Crawford	40	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-6	-6	16.2	16.9	-0.71	15.1	14.5	0.55
Andrew Wiggins	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.13	-25	7	-32	17.1	14.1	3.00	14.8	14.6	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, CLE 71	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
TOR 103, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
CHI 129, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.15,0.05,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0	93.2%