inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 103 Excitement4.8 [864] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +28.4%
Detroit Pistons 89 Comeback2.2 [580] LVPReggie Jackson (DET): -15.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.160.11-0.011476%0.322-0.045100%0.03
Terrence Ross0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.021369%0.1300.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.02983%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.00975%0.121-0.02250%0.00
Patrick Patterson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.044112%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Bennett0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Caboclo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Norman Powell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02125%-0.022-0.03250%-0.02
Luis Scola-0.060,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.030.01350%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.150,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.040.051447%-0.044-0.11887%-0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.031265%0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Marcus Morris0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.03-0.02778%0.103-0.06450%-0.04
Darrun Hilliard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011254%0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.02642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.020.02762%0.022-0.062100%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.011043%0.032-0.07837%-0.06
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.00928%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.020.011445%-0.036-0.131100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.829.116.425.21.827.0126.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +46.8%
TOR +12.0%
DET -14.7%
TOR +5.0%
TOR +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game15.216.314.9112.097.8105.1
season16.115.0107.2104.9
opponent15.114.8105.0104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.614.515.316.415.2
DET14.818.916.015.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry70700.54-0.040.590.0218-42216.012.63.4517.013.93.07
Patrick Patterson48470.420.080.35-0.2523-93214.915.6-0.7618.014.43.55
Cory Joseph45450.410.090.33-0.2924-103414.316.1-1.7317.615.02.60
Norman Powell31300.310.190.110.1659-416.014.81.1315.616.6-1.04
Bismack Biyombo37360.260.240.010.0286215.615.00.5918.814.64.21
Jonas Valanciunas51510.240.26-0.01-0.141311214.815.7-0.8815.017.8-2.83
Terrence Ross55550.180.32-0.140.07410-614.716.0-1.2617.015.11.86
Luis Scola40400.080.42-0.350.13-216-1815.515.00.4614.917.3-2.34
DeMar DeRozan67660.050.45-0.39-0.0959-414.816.3-1.5115.219.0-3.83
Anthony Bennett440.000.50-0.500.21-721-2817.015.11.869.216.6-7.34
Delon Wright440.000.50-0.500.21-721-2817.015.11.869.216.6-7.34
Lucas Nogueira440.000.50-0.500.21-721-2817.015.11.869.216.6-7.34
Bruno Caboclo430.000.50-0.500.21-721-2817.015.11.866.016.6-10.61

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond5861-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-11815.118.4-3.2915.414.90.52
Ersan Ilyasova5356-0.04-0.460.420.08-4-10615.217.7-2.5315.414.90.54
Reggie Jackson5758-0.14-0.360.220.07-7-7014.718.9-4.1315.415.00.39
Marcus Morris7273-0.19-0.310.130.17-12-2-1015.618.9-3.3914.717.3-2.58
Darrun Hilliard4748-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.24-4-10617.115.41.6514.915.5-0.59
Brandon Jennings3434-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.16-7-7018.914.74.1315.015.4-0.39
Stanley Johnson6363-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-12-2-1016.515.80.6916.013.42.63
Anthony Tolliver3836-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.17-10-4-617.715.22.5314.915.4-0.54
Aron Baynes3331-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.16-11-3-818.415.13.2914.915.4-0.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 100, DEN 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
NJN 89, ORL 790.5,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,094.1%
MIA 100, MIL 830.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,094.0%