NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	129		Excitement	6.6 [541]		MVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): +30.9%
Atlanta Hawks	122		Comeback	4.5 [195]		LVP	Isaiah Taylor (ATL): -12.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	16	64%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Nwaba	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.00	4	83%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Antonio Blakeney	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	9	78%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	13	59%	0.12	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Denzel Valentine	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.06	-0.03	10	60%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	3	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	16	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.31	0.31	0.32	0.05	0.06	18	83%	0.38	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.04
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.03	0.03	9	106%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew White III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	54%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Josh Magette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	77%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	32%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	26.6	14.8	28.2	2.4	31.4	127.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.1%

ATL -11.0%

CHI +7.5%

CHI +36.2%

ATL -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	14.7	126.5	120.8	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		103.2	104.2
opponent	14.4	15.0		109.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	13.2	14.0	13.6	13.9
ATL	14.7	16.8	13.7	13.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	60	60	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.11	21	-14	35	12.4	16.0	-3.62	14.5	14.5	0.04
Cameron Payne	37	38	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.08	24	-17	41	11.4	15.3	-3.90	16.2	13.4	2.81
Noah Vonleh	39	40	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.04	20	-13	33	12.9	14.5	-1.61	15.9	13.6	2.34
Denzel Valentine	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-4	15	13.7	14.1	-0.44	16.0	12.9	3.11
Antonio Blakeney	41	41	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.08	16	-9	25	12.1	15.1	-3.00	15.5	13.8	1.77
Zach LaVine	62	60	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.41	-8	15	-23	14.8	12.5	2.21	13.0	16.7	-3.70
Cristiano Felicio	18	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	16.3	13.4	2.96	14.3	14.5	-0.23
David Nwaba	48	48	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	12	-17	14.5	13.3	1.23	13.8	15.1	-1.24
Lauri Markkanen	62	61	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.32	-15	22	-37	14.9	12.3	2.62	13.5	15.9	-2.43
Kris Dunn	65	63	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.37	-17	24	-41	15.3	11.4	3.90	13.4	16.2	-2.81
Robin Lopez	25	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	21	-35	14.7	13.6	1.10	14.7	14.4	0.24

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	49	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.06	4	-11	15	14.1	14.9	-0.78	12.9	14.8	-1.95
Jaylen Morris	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-4	1	15.2	14.4	0.87	12.7	14.1	-1.38
Miles Plumlee	35	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	15.3	14.0	1.27	12.6	14.6	-2.01
Josh Magette	45	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-9	11	15.5	13.7	1.77	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Taurean Prince	73	75	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.40	10	-17	27	13.8	16.4	-2.64	14.8	11.5	3.28
Kent Bazemore	26	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	0	-7	15.0	14.3	0.64	14.8	13.6	1.26
Isaiah Taylor	57	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-11	15	13.1	16.3	-3.29	14.8	12.7	2.11
Tyler Dorsey	60	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	4	-15	14.8	14.0	0.86	13.1	15.1	-2.03
John Collins	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	14.9	14.0	0.87	15.2	12.5	2.71
Andrew White III	30	28	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	9	-25	16.1	13.8	2.30	12.0	14.6	-2.61
Dewayne Dedmon	64	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	2	-11	14.0	15.3	-1.32	14.3	13.2	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.15,0.05,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
HOU 126, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
TOR 120, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%