NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	4.6 [861]		MVP	Bill Wennington (CHI): +6.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	71		Comeback	2.3 [305]		LVP	Luc Longley (CHI): -21.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bill Wennington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	4	79%	0.05	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ron Harper	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	24	53%	0.04	4	-0.07	12	92%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	11	54%	0.07	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	55%	0.04	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Luc Longley	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	21	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	0.05	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	6	73%	0.06	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.2	16.3	24.5	1.8	28.3	128.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.4%

CHI +7.9%

CHI +29.1%

CLE -2.8%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	17.6	15.6	101.2	82.6	104.4
season	15.5	17.8		110.5	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.1		100.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	16.2	16.0	16.7	15.9
CLE	16.0	20.6	18.2	16.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	54	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	-7	30	15.2	17.0	-1.78	16.9	18.8	-1.83
Michael Jordan	71	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	0	16	15.6	17.3	-1.68	17.9	16.5	1.41
Scottie Pippen	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	7	2	15.6	17.6	-2.01	17.4	18.7	-1.33
Steve Kerr	35	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-1	18	15.7	16.0	-0.33	16.7	18.2	-1.49
Toni Kukoc	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	5	6	16.6	14.2	2.37	18.2	16.2	2.08
Bill Wennington	12	14	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	5	6	15.7	15.9	-0.25	21.1	16.9	4.14
Jason Caffey	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	7	2	15.1	16.6	-1.47	16.7	18.4	-1.67
Jud Buechler	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	18.3	15.8	2.54	12.3	17.8	-5.46
Randy Brown	31	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	23	-30	17.4	15.1	2.30	18.8	16.9	1.92
Luc Longley	48	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	27	-38	16.3	15.3	1.02	17.3	17.9	-0.60

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	39	39	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.11	8	-24	32	18.4	16.9	1.52	16.3	15.6	0.73
Antonio Lang	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	12.3	17.8	-5.46	18.3	15.8	2.54
Reggie Geary	5	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-14	12	12.8	17.9	-5.10	22.4	15.5	6.92
Bobby Phills	70	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-14	12	17.5	17.9	-0.33	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Vitaly Potapenko	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-14	12	17.2	17.7	-0.51	17.7	15.6	2.07
Terrell Brandon	67	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-10	4	17.7	17.4	0.24	15.7	16.6	-0.96
Tyrone Hill	66	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	18.0	16.2	1.77	16.0	15.7	0.29
Chris Mills	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-3	-10	17.7	16.8	0.92	15.6	18.1	-2.51
Bob Sura	33	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	3	-22	17.5	17.7	-0.24	15.9	15.9	0.09
Danny Ferry	38	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-3	-10	16.4	18.5	-2.07	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Donny Marshall	20	23	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.07	-23	7	-30	19.0	17.2	1.82	14.8	16.3	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 126, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
TOR 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.5%
LAL 97, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%