NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	9.5 [101]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +34.3%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	23.5 [98]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -51.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.34,0.34	0.08	0.26	0.00	9	65%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	14	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.05
Bryn Forbes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Dejounte Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.18,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	12	50%	0.18	4	-0.31	8	75%	0.06
Manu Ginobili	-0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.51	-0.09	-0.42	-0.00	10	37%	-0.25	3	-0.26	4	50%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.14	-0.00	9	68%	0.25	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.10
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.14,0.23	0.23	-0.06	0.27	-0.01	28	40%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.05
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	13	71%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	53%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.06
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	23.4	15.4	32.5	0.3	36.8	138.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.8%

SAS -6.2%

SAS -3.2%

UTA +39.9%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	14.7	103.1	101.0	107.5
season	15.5	15.1		106.7	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.5		103.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	11.5	16.3	11.1	15.9	13.7
UTA	17.7	15.7	15.8	13.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joffrey Lauvergne	29	30	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.13	2	-4	6	14.4	13.3	1.04	16.8	15.2	1.54
Tony Parker	33	34	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-8	14	13.4	13.8	-0.35	14.6	16.2	-1.58
Dejounte Murray	56	59	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.28	-4	2	-6	13.6	13.8	-0.20	17.1	13.7	3.32
Davis Bertans	56	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	2	-6	13.6	13.8	-0.25	16.7	14.2	2.48
Bryn Forbes	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	16.4	13.1	3.28	17.5	15.3	2.22
Danny Green	59	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.40	9	-11	20	13.1	14.6	-1.53	16.2	14.8	1.34
Manu Ginobili	48	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-4	6	13.4	13.9	-0.44	14.3	17.0	-2.71
Patty Mills	44	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.56	1	-3	4	14.5	12.9	1.56	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Pau Gasol	67	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.57	-4	2	-6	13.3	14.4	-1.04	15.2	16.8	-1.54
Kyle Anderson	71	75	-1.16	0.66	-1.81	-0.75	-14	12	-26	13.4	14.4	-1.06	15.0	17.8	-2.81

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	80	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.46	8	-6	14	15.3	17.3	-2.07	13.9	12.7	1.15
Royce O'Neale	57	52	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.49	5	-3	8	16.5	14.6	1.99	12.4	15.1	-2.65
Donovan Mitchell	80	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-4	10	15.4	16.8	-1.45	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Jae Crowder	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	-2	6	15.1	16.9	-1.86	14.5	11.7	2.80
Derrick Favors	56	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	10	-18	16.2	15.0	1.15	12.5	15.0	-2.50
Rudy Gobert	63	62	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	-2	6	16.6	14.1	2.55	13.4	14.2	-0.85
Ekpe Udoh	5	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	1	0	12.8	15.8	-3.04	15.5	13.6	1.92
Raul Neto	36	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	6	-10	15.0	16.1	-1.08	14.7	13.0	1.71
Alec Burks	17	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	4	-6	14.8	15.9	-1.11	11.6	14.1	-2.44
Jonas Jerebko	16	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	9	-16	16.7	15.5	1.19	14.1	13.6	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.13,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.11,0.14,0.27,0.53,0.78,0.83,0.42,1	89.0%
IND 99, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.38,0.54,0.68,0.42,1	88.9%
HOU 111, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.46,0.36,0.54,0.59,0.91,1	88.2%