NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	8.7 [166]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +47.5%
Sacramento Kings	117		Comeback	9.6 [65]		LVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): -19.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omer Asik	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.10	0.02	9	89%	0.25	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	16	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.26,0.11,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	20	59%	0.33	4	-0.26	11	73%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	12	19%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.2	-0.03	-0.16	0.00	6	50%	-0.07	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,0.01,0.13,0.07,0.23,0.32,0.46,0.48	0.48	0.15	0.34	0.02	10	70%	0.54	2	-0.06	13	100%	0.11
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.13	0.02	14	66%	0.24	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.08
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	14	65%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	11	27%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	27.5	15.3	27.1	1.6	42.4	138.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +2.0%

SAC +36.4%

HOU -8.9%

SAC +21.4%

HOU -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	15.4	113.3	120.6	104.1
season	14.2	15.0		107.9	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.6	11.6	14.6	14.6	14.3
SAC	14.0	17.2	16.0	13.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	56	56	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.20	3	-9	12	14.4	14.2	0.24	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Marcus Morris	28	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-4	2	14.7	14.2	0.49	15.4	15.1	0.26
Cole Aldrich	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-4	2	13.2	14.7	-1.46	17.3	14.5	2.86
Jeremy Lin	58	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-5	4	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.8	14.3	1.44
Patrick Beverley	40	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-1	-4	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.3	15.8	-1.44
Omer Asik	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-4	2	15.1	12.3	2.86	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Carlos Delfino	61	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	1	-8	13.6	15.5	-1.86	15.3	15.1	0.26
Patrick Patterson	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	-2	-2	14.2	14.7	-0.49	15.1	15.4	-0.26
James Harden	82	80	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	4	-14	14.4	13.9	0.54	14.9	16.6	-1.66

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	37	38	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.48	14	-8	22	14.8	15.5	-0.74	13.5	14.8	-1.31
Isaiah Thomas	68	70	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-5	16	14.1	17.8	-3.68	14.8	13.1	1.76
Jason Thompson	66	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-1	8	14.4	17.0	-2.62	15.1	12.6	2.55
Charles Hayes	50	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	0	6	15.7	14.7	0.96	14.3	14.4	-0.10
John Salmons	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	5	-4	15.2	15.4	-0.27	14.6	13.4	1.24
Aaron Brooks	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	3	0	17.2	14.9	2.33	11.6	14.8	-3.13
DeMarcus Cousins	47	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	14.7	15.7	-0.96	14.6	14.1	0.48
Marcus Thornton	39	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.21	4	2	2	14.6	15.7	-1.09	14.5	14.2	0.36
Tyreke Evans	46	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	11	-16	15.9	14.6	1.37	13.8	14.7	-0.90
Thomas Robinson	30	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	9	-12	17.5	14.2	3.35	13.2	14.8	-1.64
Jimmer Fredette	15	15	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.08	-8	14	-22	18.3	14.6	3.69	13.9	14.4	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.46,0.36,0.54,0.59,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 109, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,1	91.2%
SAS 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.38,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.29,0.45,0.9,0.96,1	90.7%
DEN 116, CHA 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.78,0.77,0.85,1	90.2%