NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	7.9 [223]		MVP	Devin Harris (UTA): +32.6%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	6.8 [181]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (SAS): -23.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.14	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.09	-0.01	16	44%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	41%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	11	32%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.18	-0.09	-0.03	13	19%	-0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.18,0.35,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.05	0.28	-0.00	17	54%	0.45	3	-0.12	12	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.03	11	60%	0.14	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.13	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	12	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	29.8	15.8	26.4	1.7	31.0	127.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.1%

UTA +26.5%

UTA +25.1%

SAS -23.3%

SAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	93.3	101.1	102.8
season	15.3	15.8		109.1	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.7	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.2	14.9	14.7	18.4	16.0
UTA	16.5	15.7	16.7	15.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	46	47	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.14	5	-12	17	15.8	16.2	-0.44	17.3	14.7	2.63
Patty Mills	45	45	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-7	7	15.7	16.2	-0.49	17.3	14.8	2.49
DeJuan Blair	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	15.9	16.1	-0.19	17.2	15.2	2.00
Boris Diaw	35	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.1	15.3	1.77	16.8	15.4	1.42
Matt Bonner	53	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-7	7	15.6	16.5	-0.86	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Tiago Splitter	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	16.1	15.9	0.19	15.2	17.2	-2.00
Gary Neal	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	15.4	17.0	-1.66	14.7	18.1	-3.37
Danny Green	65	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.40	-8	1	-9	16.3	15.2	1.02	15.4	17.8	-2.47
Stephen Jackson	59	59	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.37	-15	8	-23	16.3	15.4	0.90	15.5	17.0	-1.54

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	72	72	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.31	17	-10	27	14.8	20.8	-6.01	15.7	16.9	-1.14
Al Jefferson	69	69	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-8	23	14.8	20.0	-5.25	16.0	15.9	0.10
Devin Harris	69	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-2	11	14.9	19.6	-4.63	16.0	15.9	0.10
Paul Millsap	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-5	17	15.9	16.4	-0.47	16.3	15.2	1.08
Derrick Favors	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-1	9	15.7	16.6	-0.97	17.1	14.0	3.12
DeMarre Carroll	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	9	-11	17.3	15.6	1.65	16.3	15.9	0.46
Jeremy Evans	32	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	17.6	15.2	2.39	13.9	17.2	-3.37
Jamaal Tinsley	24	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	8	-9	17.8	15.4	2.47	15.0	16.3	-1.23
Enes Kanter	20	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	11	-15	19.7	15.0	4.73	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Alec Burks	21	21	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.09	-15	22	-37	19.9	14.8	5.06	17.0	15.7	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.38,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.29,0.45,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.94,1,1	90.8%
NYK 109, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,1	90.8%
HOU 111, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.46,0.36,0.54,0.59,0.91,1	90.7%