NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	9.6 [84]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (NYK): +27.1%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	9.3 [188]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -28.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.16	0.00	11	72%	0.27	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.26,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	27	57%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.15,-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.02	12	65%	0.17	3	-0.25	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29	-0.15	-0.14	0.00	17	26%	-0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.06,0.13,0.27,0.09,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.00	8	70%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.06
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.10	-0.02	23	63%	0.31	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.05
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	7	58%	0.01	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	10	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	17	32%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	8	26%	-0.11	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.4	14.6	26.3	2.6	34.9	131.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -21.0%

GSW +21.4%

GSW +49.1%

GSW +0.1%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.5	110.3	115.6	101.6
season	15.6	14.6		102.6	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	14.6	15.5	13.7	14.2
GSW	19.0	13.1	17.1	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	34	35	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-11	18	14.6	14.0	0.59	19.7	13.3	6.45
Howard Eisley	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-9	14	15.4	13.5	1.87	16.3	15.3	0.96
Frank Williams	30	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	14.5	14.1	0.43	12.8	17.1	-4.25
Michael Doleac	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	2	-8	14.1	14.2	-0.10	13.1	16.7	-3.59
Shandon Anderson	37	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-1	-2	14.7	13.9	0.85	13.7	16.7	-2.99
Kurt Thomas	64	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-8	12	14.3	14.1	0.17	17.3	12.5	4.72
Allan Houston	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-3	2	13.6	17.1	-3.50	16.4	11.6	4.83
Latrell Sprewell	85	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	1	-6	14.2	14.2	0.05	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Clar. Weatherspoon	67	65	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.45	-13	9	-22	14.0	14.7	-0.71	13.0	21.2	-8.24

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	59	62	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.53	9	-5	14	16.2	14.8	1.36	14.0	14.6	-0.66
Antawn Jamison	86	88	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-7	18	15.8	14.0	1.84	14.4	12.7	1.70
Adonal Foyle	57	58	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-6	16	13.5	18.8	-5.39	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Gilbert Arenas	61	64	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	1	2	16.9	13.5	3.35	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Troy Murphy	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	3	-2	16.1	14.4	1.73	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Earl Boykins	39	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	4	-4	14.4	16.5	-2.04	14.4	14.1	0.35
Mike Dunleavy	24	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.09	-2	6	-8	13.2	16.5	-3.25	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Erick Dampier	39	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	10	-16	18.8	13.5	5.39	14.7	13.9	0.81
Bob Sura	45	44	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.15	-6	10	-16	14.6	16.6	-2.05	14.7	13.8	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.13,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.11,0.14,0.27,0.53,0.78,0.83,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.72,0.91,0.73,1	91.3%
DET 103, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.77,0.89,0.73,1	90.6%
NJN 102, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.87,0.83,1	89.7%