NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	8.3 [211]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +75.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	8.6 [368]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.14	-0.00	0.15	0.01	10	54%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.06
Jordan Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	15	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	52%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	9	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Sacre	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	13	37%	-0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.08
Ryan Kelly	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.31,0.48,0.45,0.75	0.75	0.25	0.51	0.00	21	71%	0.77	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.10
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.08	-0.00	5	109%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.03	20	48%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.6	24.4	15.4	24.2	2.7	38.3	128.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +64.8%

LAL -14.7%

POR +5.0%

LAL -1.8%

LAL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.1	101.1	105.4	104.2
season	15.5	15.3		101.9	106.5
opponent	15.0	14.7		102.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.7	15.7	15.3	13.8	15.4
POR	13.9	16.3	17.4	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	28	27	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-11	18	13.2	16.3	-3.03	17.0	15.0	2.02
Ryan Kelly	46	49	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.08	10	-14	24	16.1	14.7	1.43	15.7	15.5	0.24
Ronnie Price	49	51	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-2	0	16.8	13.7	3.11	16.0	15.1	0.92
Carlos Boozer	46	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-7	10	14.5	16.2	-1.76	16.4	14.9	1.52
Jordan Clarkson	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	1	-6	14.8	15.6	-0.88	16.2	15.3	0.93
Ed Davis	51	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	16.1	14.5	1.67	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Jeremy Lin	44	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.47	-2	-2	0	13.7	16.8	-3.11	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Wayne Ellington	55	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	1	-6	15.9	14.6	1.24	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Jordan Hill	60	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	5	-14	16.6	13.2	3.38	15.2	16.5	-1.32
Nick Young	57	55	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.47	-8	4	-12	14.4	16.9	-2.44	14.6	17.1	-2.50

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	39	40	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-6	16	14.4	16.5	-2.14	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Wesley Matthews	61	61	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.58	4	0	4	15.7	15.3	0.39	14.8	16.4	-1.54
Damian Lillard	76	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	15.3	17.1	-1.78	15.6	14.3	1.39
Nicolas Batum	72	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	0	4	15.5	15.9	-0.39	15.7	14.4	1.24
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	3	-2	15.5	15.8	-0.30	15.6	14.6	0.99
Steve Blake	40	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	2	0	15.6	15.6	-0.05	15.1	15.6	-0.48
CJ McCollum	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	5	-6	16.2	15.5	0.66	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Thomas Robinson	26	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	15.2	15.8	-0.57	15.0	15.5	-0.57
Allen Crabbe	19	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.12	0	4	-4	16.5	15.4	1.16	15.4	15.3	0.11
Chris Kaman	51	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	5	-6	16.9	14.1	2.79	15.8	14.9	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.72,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.13,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.11,0.14,0.27,0.53,0.78,0.83,0.42,1	91.3%
LAL 92, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.62,0.85,0.97,1,1	91.2%
CHA 111, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.45,0.61,0.68,0.85,1	90.9%