NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.0 [422]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +35.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	9.4 [72]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -15.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	11	69%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	10	42%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.01	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.04	17	57%	0.12	3	-0.13	13	77%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	8	12%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.18	0.18	0.00	20	71%	0.38	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	4	75%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.06	-0.03	20	38%	0.05	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	28.2	16.7	27.0	2.4	43.9	147.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.7%

LAL -24.7%

LAC +2.1%

LAC +23.8%

LAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.5	98.9	107.6	105.7
season	15.9	15.4		108.8	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.7	11.8	16.2	14.8	15.4
LAC	14.0	17.2	15.8	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	20	20	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.07	12	-19	31	13.3	16.0	-2.62	16.8	15.4	1.37
Steve Blake	33	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-13	19	14.2	16.1	-1.90	16.0	15.6	0.46
Lamar Odom	57	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	13.6	18.3	-4.68	15.8	15.7	0.12
Shannon Brown	37	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-5	3	14.4	16.1	-1.71	15.5	15.9	-0.35
Andrew Bynum	61	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-7	7	16.0	14.2	1.86	16.0	15.2	0.80
Derek Fisher	57	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.9	14.6	1.26	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Metta World Peace	63	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.19	-11	4	-15	15.9	14.4	1.44	15.9	15.4	0.48
Pau Gasol	66	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	7	-21	16.7	12.3	4.44	16.1	14.6	1.49
Kobe Bryant	71	70	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.33	-19	12	-31	16.0	13.5	2.50	14.9	18.3	-3.34

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	80	81	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.17	19	-12	31	15.7	16.2	-0.50	16.1	11.0	5.06
Ike Diogu	39	39	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.60	3	4	-1	16.5	15.2	1.27	13.1	17.1	-3.97
Randy Foye	25	26	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	4	-1	14.6	16.1	-1.55	12.5	16.6	-4.09
Baron Davis	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-4	15	16.0	15.1	0.91	15.4	15.4	0.07
Blake Griffin	71	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	15.5	16.5	-0.97	16.0	12.8	3.19
Al-Farouq Aminu	26	24	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-4	15	13.7	16.5	-2.84	18.2	14.4	3.83
DeAndre Jordan	70	69	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.19	2	5	-3	16.4	13.6	2.81	16.4	12.5	3.86
Eric Bledsoe	31	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	12	-17	16.0	15.6	0.36	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Ryan Gomes	52	53	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.03	-17	24	-41	15.8	15.7	0.09	14.4	16.7	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.62,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	91.6%
LAL 94, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.72,0.91,0.73,1	91.2%
NOH 96, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.1%