NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	7.3 [202]		MVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): +11.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	4.3 [316]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (TOR): -21.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1	0.12	-0.02	0.00	18	66%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Alvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	75%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
John Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	73%	0.10	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	13	47%	-0.10	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	10	32%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	9	33%	-0.10	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	0.00	5	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	21	60%	0.16	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	19	62%	0.11	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	11	42%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	11	27%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	34.4	15.8	21.2	2.3	38.5	142.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +4.3%

PHI +16.5%

PHI +5.1%

PHI +19.3%

PHI +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.8	104.3	110.8	99.6
season	15.6	15.6		99.0	97.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		94.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.3	15.0	18.5	17.3	15.9
PHI	14.9	17.0	16.6	12.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	61	61	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.24	16	-23	39	14.2	19.2	-5.01	15.4	15.0	0.41
John Thomas	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-10	13	16.6	15.1	1.47	16.1	14.4	1.67
Alvin Williams	31	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-2	-3	15.5	16.1	-0.68	15.0	15.3	-0.34
Vince Carter	28	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-1	-5	14.0	16.7	-2.79	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Doug Christie	64	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-7	7	15.7	16.4	-0.71	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Kevin Willis	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	16.6	15.3	1.23	16.8	14.0	2.78
Charles Oakley	67	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	2	-11	16.4	14.6	1.73	15.7	13.9	1.80
John Wallace	64	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	5	-17	16.8	13.7	3.09	14.0	17.9	-3.87
Dee Brown	54	55	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.31	-17	10	-27	16.5	15.1	1.40	14.8	15.9	-1.11

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	55	53	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.28	19	-12	31	13.4	17.9	-4.45	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Matt Geiger	76	73	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-5	17	14.7	17.6	-2.88	16.3	14.4	1.93
Allen Iverson	87	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-4	15	15.0	18.5	-3.49	16.1	11.6	4.55
Eric Snow	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	5	-3	15.6	14.4	1.20	16.1	15.2	0.97
George Lynch	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	8	-9	14.4	15.9	-1.51	16.8	15.2	1.55
Theo Ratliff	50	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	7	-7	15.8	14.5	1.31	16.4	15.3	1.14
Harvey Grant	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	2	3	16.2	15.1	1.16	17.7	15.6	2.12
Rick Mahorn	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	24.2	14.6	9.55	12.8	16.1	-3.28
Tyrone Hill	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	12	-17	16.7	14.3	2.38	14.7	16.7	-1.98
Larry Hughes	36	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	11	-15	15.9	14.8	1.06	14.2	16.9	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.84,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.45,0.67,0.62,0.84,0.97,0.93,1	92.3%
POR 83, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.99,1	92.1%
NOH 96, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.0%