inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 103 Excitement7.7 [303] MVPMike James (TOR): +82.5%
Toronto Raptors 108 Comeback13.1 [172] LVPRafael Araujo (TOR): -9.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.3,0.30.090.21-0.00972%0.3000.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.110,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.120.020.026100%0.162-0.05367%-0.00
Richard Hamilton0.060,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011262%0.101-0.042100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.050,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00756%0.0500.004100%0.03
Rasheed Wallace0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dale Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00650%0.031-0.04250%-0.02
Jason Maxiell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03-0.030.000.00533%-0.0300.0020%-0.04
Tony Delk-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.030.02-0.050.001162%0.093-0.122100%0.02
Antonio McDyess-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00337%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Maurice Evans-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.06-0.031045%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.01637%0.022-0.104100%0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.41,0.830.830.230.620.021678%0.924-0.1018100%0.27
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.050.001354%0.1000.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.011556%0.112-0.06683%0.01
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00545%0.0100.001100%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00650%0.071-0.0800%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.011450%0.011-0.042100%0.01
Pape Sow0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01731%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.030.00633%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.726.516.026.31.841.2138.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +5.6%
TOR +40.8%
TOR +3.2%
TOR +1.1%
DET -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game14.815.815.6108.4116.1104.4
season16.915.6108.3107.3
opponent15.415.8110.5101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.014.213.214.214.8
TOR16.313.519.514.615.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups40390.44-0.941.390.0015-203515.114.60.5017.814.43.41
Rasheed Wallace39390.42-0.921.350.0413-183115.114.60.4117.814.43.41
Ben Wallace52510.41-0.911.310.1110-152515.713.72.0817.713.54.22
Richard Hamilton43430.39-0.891.270.0312-172915.514.21.3218.014.03.93
Tayshaun Prince35360.33-0.831.160.0111-162716.513.82.7417.614.72.94
Dale Davis87-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-3114.214.9-0.6117.115.71.41
Antonio McDyess4240-0.16-0.340.180.11-94-1315.314.40.9415.516.1-0.55
Maurice Evans4544-0.510.01-0.52-0.45-2-3112.916.5-3.6515.815.9-0.13
Jason Maxiell3535-0.880.38-1.26-0.50-138-2113.515.5-2.0112.817.7-4.87
Tony Delk5250-0.890.39-1.27-0.39-1712-2914.215.5-1.3214.018.0-3.93
Lindsey Hunter5454-0.930.43-1.36-0.34-2015-3514.814.80.0114.417.8-3.41
Carlos Delfino3027-1.110.61-1.71-0.43-2318-4114.215.1-0.8411.117.8-6.61

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon49520.84-0.341.180.4314-92315.716.0-0.3513.816.0-2.17
Joey Graham65660.79-0.291.070.2917-122915.317.0-1.6614.016.8-2.80
Morris Peterson69700.500.000.490.3841316.015.40.5715.114.10.94
Mike James82830.450.050.390.4214-315.021.9-6.8814.715.6-0.88
Charlie Villanueva86880.360.140.220.3605-516.211.05.2314.914.10.72
Rafael Araujo4748-0.010.52-0.53-0.1032115.416.3-0.8415.913.72.15
Loren Woods3939-0.130.63-0.75-0.07-27-917.114.92.2214.515.0-0.55
Pape Sow2829-0.290.79-1.070.06-1217-2917.015.31.6616.814.02.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.77,0.89,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 77, SAS 830.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.87,0.87,193.9%
POR 90, PHX 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.24,0.39,0.19,0.54,0.84,1,190.7%
ATL 104, LAC 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.94,1,190.7%