NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	129		Excitement	1.4 [1312]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +10.5%
Phoenix Suns	81		Comeback	1.0 [1256]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -7.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.00	0.07	9	94%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	12	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.00	0.13	9	95%	0.03	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	80%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.18	0.00	0.17	14	70%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Brandon Paul	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	50%	0.00	3	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	9	25%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	7	14%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Peters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	9	64%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	16	26%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	10	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	33%	-0.04	3	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	0.00	0.09	8	75%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	17	36%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.3	28.6	14.6	26.4	3.3	27.6	128.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.3%

SAS +0.7%

SAS +5.1%

SAS +5.3%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	13.7	14.8	14.7	127.7	80.2	107.5
season	15.5	14.2		106.7	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		111.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.3	13.0	16.4	12.3	13.7
PHX	16.7	15.8	13.6	13.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.59	33	15	18	15.2	11.8	3.39	15.3	14.2	1.11
Dejounte Murray	25	26	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.25	21	27	-6	14.5	13.4	1.07	17.4	13.9	3.48
Danny Green	42	42	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.26	21	27	-6	15.4	12.4	2.96	16.5	13.7	2.76
Kyle Anderson	38	37	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.30	22	26	-4	15.3	12.7	2.59	16.2	14.0	2.21
Davis Bertans	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	28	-8	14.4	12.9	1.48	15.8	13.8	2.04
Patty Mills	39	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.67	30	18	12	12.8	14.2	-1.47	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Pau Gasol	49	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.64	29	19	10	13.1	14.2	-1.19	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Manu Ginobili	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.66	29	19	10	12.5	14.3	-1.77	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Tony Parker	35	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.40	18	30	-12	13.8	13.6	0.15	15.3	14.6	0.68
Bryn Forbes	49	50	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.22	8	40	-32	12.8	14.5	-1.66	13.3	16.4	-3.13
Joffrey Lauvergne	33	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	40	-32	12.0	14.5	-2.44	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Derrick White	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	47	-46	12.3	14.2	-1.92	13.4	15.4	-1.95
Brandon Paul	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	48	-48	12.1	14.2	-2.12	13.5	15.3	-1.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davon Reed	39	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.26	-9	-39	30	12.9	16.0	-3.13	12.7	14.3	-1.59
Alec Peters	26	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-48	48	12.7	15.6	-2.84	13.4	13.8	-0.41
Jared Dudley	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-47	46	15.6	14.7	0.89	15.2	13.5	1.69
Danuel House	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-42	36	13.4	15.5	-2.15	12.5	14.2	-1.68
Alex Len	39	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-40	32	14.0	15.4	-1.41	12.9	14.2	-1.32
Troy Daniels	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.26	-13	-35	22	15.9	14.6	1.28	12.3	14.0	-1.75
Josh Gray	66	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.33	-19	-29	10	14.5	15.5	-0.94	13.0	15.1	-2.03
Tyler Ulis	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-34	20	17.4	14.3	3.10	16.4	13.1	3.22
Josh Jackson	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.99	-47	-1	-46	15.3	13.9	1.37	14.0	12.9	1.14
TJ Warren	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.65	-36	-12	-24	15.6	13.8	1.87	15.0	11.9	3.13
Dragan Bender	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.79	-41	-7	-34	15.0	14.5	0.49	13.9	13.2	0.70
Marquese Chriss	61	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.89	-46	-2	-44	16.0	13.1	2.84	13.8	13.5	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
SAS 104, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
SAC 122, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%