NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	1.4 [1319]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +10.6%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.0 [1057]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -6.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	-0.00	-0.04	15	56%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.21	0.00	0.14	11	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	12	62%	0.08	3	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	9	22%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	133%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	53%	0.00	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.15	0.00	0.11	14	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	-0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	54%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	2	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.17	0.00	0.21	10	83%	-0.03	2	-0.01	9	89%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	9	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	9	44%	-0.03	5	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	5	8%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	28.5	16.3	26.3	2.6	31.2	128.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.4%

SAS +3.0%

SAS +1.3%

SAS +6.8%

SAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.1	111.8	104.3	105.2
season	15.0	16.3		109.8	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		99.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	15.0	15.2	17.8	15.8
CHI	16.4	17.7	14.2	13.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-9	26	15.6	16.0	-0.36	16.6	13.9	2.67
Tony Parker	48	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	-8	24	15.3	16.3	-1.00	16.1	14.6	1.53
Kawhi Leonard	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	-6	20	15.4	16.2	-0.82	16.6	13.7	2.85
Manu Ginobili	39	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	-9	26	15.1	16.2	-1.08	15.5	15.3	0.19
Boris Diaw	55	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	1	6	15.5	16.1	-0.51	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Tiago Splitter	26	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	-5	18	15.1	16.0	-0.88	15.6	15.3	0.33
Danny Green	19	19	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	-3	14	13.8	16.2	-2.40	18.2	14.7	3.50
Marco Belinelli	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.31	-5	13	-18	16.1	15.3	0.81	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Patty Mills	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.42	-9	17	-26	16.3	15.2	1.15	14.1	16.7	-2.52
Aron Baynes	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	4	0	14.0	16.5	-2.51	16.2	15.0	1.25
Jeff Ayres	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	23	-38	20.1	14.9	5.22	10.5	16.2	-5.64
Matt Bonner	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	18	-28	17.5	15.5	2.03	15.6	15.3	0.29
Cory Joseph	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.59	-20	28	-48	19.1	15.0	4.12	11.3	16.2	-4.92

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	14	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.50	17	-25	42	9.2	16.5	-7.27	19.2	15.0	4.15
Nazr Mohammed	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.48	12	-20	32	15.5	15.3	0.20	16.3	15.5	0.77
Tony Snell	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.34	5	-13	18	15.5	15.3	0.12	17.6	14.6	2.96
Taj Gibson	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-10	12	16.1	14.8	1.27	16.7	14.9	1.80
D.J. Augustin	61	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-12	16	14.6	16.9	-2.25	16.4	14.4	2.05
Kirk Hinrich	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	3	-14	17.1	13.2	3.85	15.2	16.4	-1.15
Mike Dunleavy	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	5	-18	15.1	15.6	-0.54	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Joakim Noah	60	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	5	-18	15.2	15.7	-0.47	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Carlos Boozer	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	9	-26	15.0	16.0	-1.04	15.2	16.5	-1.22
Jimmy Butler	72	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.26	-26	18	-44	16.1	12.6	3.49	14.5	20.0	-5.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	99.0%
SAC 122, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.4%
SAS 129, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%