inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 105 Excitement8.7 [180] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +71.6%
Golden State Warriors 109 Comeback3.1 [822] LVPAl Horford (BOS): -18.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0.250,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.250.280.040.061884%0.363-0.10875%0.03
Jaylen Brown0.140,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.040.04983%0.212-0.07683%0.00
Terry Rozier0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.070.020.05-0.00656%0.101-0.03475%-0.00
Daniel Theis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.001100%0.071-0.0210%-0.03
Semi Ojeleye-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00125%-0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Shane Larkin-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.00825%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Jayson Tatum-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.00922%-0.101-0.0400%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17-0.04-0.15-0.011539%-0.151-0.031100%0.00
Al Horford-0.180,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18-0.05-0.14-0.001547%-0.123-0.06250%-0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.55,0.720.720.410.360.062484%0.761-0.041090%0.08
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.021154%0.094-0.126100%0.06
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.02-0.080.011100%0.031-0.102100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.070.011847%-0.052-0.05771%-0.04
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.07-0.001228%-0.081-0.081100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.626.414.729.32.041.5141.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +30.0%
GSW +24.9%
BOS -14.8%
GSW +6.6%
GSW +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSGSWNBABOSGSWNBA
this game15.713.514.7106.1111.2107.5
season15.113.7106.4112.6
opponent15.114.7105.8103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.016.015.514.515.7
GSW14.315.312.212.613.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jayson Tatum58560.14-0.640.78-0.077-111815.116.6-1.4714.412.32.14
Semi Ojeleye1111-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-3217.115.51.5714.313.40.84
Shane Larkin3032-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-5616.515.31.2014.413.11.35
Daniel Theis2124-0.13-0.370.240.01-51-618.215.03.1615.512.92.55
Al Horford7671-0.13-0.370.23-0.347-111814.519.6-5.0412.915.3-2.39
Aron Baynes3433-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-51-616.415.31.1312.913.8-0.89
Kyrie Irving7675-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-4415.416.7-1.3613.513.50.01
Marcus Morris6766-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.483-71015.516.0-0.4913.812.90.93
Jaylen Brown7071-0.600.10-0.70-0.36-84-1216.014.91.1313.114.6-1.41
Terry Rozier5251-0.800.30-1.09-0.24-1915-3416.015.30.7212.314.8-2.50

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala56550.65-0.150.790.476-2814.312.51.8016.215.11.05
Stephen Curry75770.55-0.050.600.376-2812.716.2-3.4516.014.81.19
Kevin Durant75760.55-0.050.600.299-51413.015.2-2.2015.416.5-1.07
Klay Thompson77780.490.010.470.316-2813.513.6-0.0515.018.1-3.10
Draymond Green79810.370.130.250.40-15-613.015.8-2.8715.616.3-0.78
Omri Casspi980.120.38-0.260.0331213.013.6-0.5815.715.70.06
Kevon Looney17160.090.41-0.310.0613-213.813.50.2817.815.32.52
Zaza Pachulia32330.070.43-0.360.0704-412.913.8-0.9715.415.8-0.41
Shaun Livingston29280.030.47-0.430.0013-215.412.82.6315.315.9-0.57
Nick Young1112-0.130.63-0.770.01-59-1414.113.50.6317.515.42.05
David West3031-0.290.79-1.08-0.11-610-1615.612.63.0315.715.70.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.47,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 80, DET 840.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,190.4%
NOP 107, POR 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.48,0.34,0.69,190.4%
POR 87, SEA 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.92,190.2%