NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	8.0 [280]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): +7.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	89		Comeback	3.8 [690]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -27.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	14	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.09
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	67%	0.10	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.03
Darius Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Viktor Khryapa	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	0.01	17	31%	-0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.08	0.01	6	67%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	7	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.01	24	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	60%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.06
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.6	25.1	16.7	28.2	2.8	32.2	130.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +25.0%

POR -17.7%

SEA +49.6%

POR -5.4%

POR -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	15.6	18.5	15.5	103.6	104.7	104.0
season	15.8	16.5		101.2	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.6		107.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	16.3	13.1	17.7	15.6
SEA	15.8	21.6	18.7	18.3	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-4	6	20.4	14.5	5.90	17.7	18.6	-0.98
Richie Frahm	45	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-6	10	15.7	15.5	0.20	19.3	17.5	1.80
Sebastian Telfair	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-3	4	14.4	19.6	-5.15	19.1	16.3	2.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-5	8	15.3	17.3	-2.03	18.3	19.2	-0.91
Viktor Khryapa	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	5	-12	16.8	14.9	1.92	19.4	18.0	1.44
Joel Przybilla	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	15.8	13.7	2.04	18.6	17.2	1.35
Darius Miles	54	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	6	-14	14.4	17.7	-3.27	17.7	20.0	-2.28
Damon Stoudamire	62	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.43	-10	8	-18	16.0	14.3	1.73	17.6	20.9	-3.23

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	39	36	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.53	1	1	0	18.5	18.4	0.08	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Ray Allen	75	74	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	-2	6	18.9	15.4	3.48	15.1	18.9	-3.75
Damien Wilkins	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	0	2	17.8	20.1	-2.34	15.5	15.8	-0.33
Ronald Murray	30	30	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	-6	14	17.9	18.8	-0.88	16.3	15.2	1.04
Nick Collison	50	50	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	4	-6	18.3	18.7	-0.32	16.0	15.0	0.95
Antonio Daniels	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	7	-12	19.1	17.7	1.34	16.5	14.6	1.88
Reggie Evans	53	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-2	6	18.4	18.6	-0.25	14.8	16.8	-2.02
Luke Ridnour	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	1	0	18.4	18.5	-0.15	14.7	16.6	-1.95
Danny Fortson	27	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	5	-8	18.9	18.3	0.67	17.2	14.8	2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 84, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.83,1	91.7%
SAS 90, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.9,1	90.4%
NOP 107, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.48,0.34,0.69,1	90.4%