NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	80		Excitement	7.6 [289]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +25.1%
Detroit Pistons	84		Comeback	1.8 [633]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -34.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.11	0.00	18	67%	0.28	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.2,-0.13,-0.03,-0.09,-0.35	-0.10	-0.21	0.03	23	41%	-0.10	4	-0.25	3	67%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.20	0.03	18	58%	0.31	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	13	38%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	12	25%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.7	28.3	17.4	25.4	3.2	34.5	134.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +17.6%

DET +6.2%

DET +9.2%

DET +16.6%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DET	NBA	SAS	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	18.5	15.4	97.6	103.7	105.7
season	16.5	16.8		104.7	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.3		101.3	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.4	15.9	17.7	15.7	16.9
DET	17.6	18.4	20.2	17.8	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	12	11	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.01	9	-13	22	18.2	16.7	1.51	19.3	18.3	0.93
Kurt Thomas	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-2	0	17.2	16.6	0.52	18.8	18.2	0.61
Tim Duncan	66	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-12	20	16.3	19.2	-2.87	19.0	16.5	2.45
Jacque Vaughn	18	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	1	-6	15.9	17.1	-1.20	19.4	18.2	1.17
Robert Horry	40	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-6	8	16.8	17.0	-0.15	17.1	19.7	-2.64
Tony Parker	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-5	6	17.1	15.9	1.20	18.0	20.3	-2.33
Michael Finley	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	17.5	15.5	2.01	19.1	17.0	2.07
Damon Stoudamire	33	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	8	-20	17.3	16.6	0.66	17.0	19.4	-2.48
Fabricio Oberto	21	22	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.08	-16	12	-28	18.3	16.4	1.89	18.9	18.3	0.60
Manu Ginobili	62	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	0	-4	15.9	20.0	-4.20	18.8	17.5	1.30

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	64	65	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.35	13	-9	22	18.5	18.2	0.30	17.5	14.6	2.81
Richard Hamilton	64	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-3	10	18.7	17.7	0.97	17.0	16.3	0.75
Tayshaun Prince	63	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-1	6	18.8	17.4	1.32	17.0	16.5	0.51
Chauncey Billups	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	3	-2	18.7	17.7	0.97	17.1	16.1	1.03
Rasheed Wallace	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	7	-10	18.6	17.8	0.82	17.0	16.4	0.59
Rodney Stuckey	25	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	-1	6	17.7	18.8	-1.14	16.3	17.2	-0.92
Jarvis Hayes	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	5	-6	17.2	18.9	-1.64	16.1	17.1	-0.98
Theo Ratliff	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	7	-10	17.3	18.9	-1.63	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Jason Maxiell	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	5	-6	19.9	18.3	1.60	13.8	17.3	-3.48
Juan Dixon	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	18.4	18.5	-0.10	15.1	17.1	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.73,1	93.6%
CHA 94, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.73,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.81,1	91.0%
TOR 97, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.58,1	91.0%