NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	7.9 [280]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (MIL): +20.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	2.3 [839]		LVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): -18.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.07	0.00	8	90%	0.27	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Johnny O'Bryant III	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	7	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Treveon Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dwayne Bacon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	9	0%	-0.14
Malik Monk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	17	42%	-0.08	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Marvin Williams	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.17	-0.01	10	39%	-0.17	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.00	10	75%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.08	-0.06	19	49%	0.17	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,-0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	21	64%	0.32	6	-0.24	8	75%	0.03
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	27.2	14.7	25.8	1.7	31.3	129.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +52.2%

MIL +14.1%

CHA -11.8%

CHA -3.0%

CHA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	14.7	93.1	106.2	107.5
season	14.6	14.3		108.7	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.5		108.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.3	13.7	15.8	15.1	14.5
MIL	14.9	14.5	14.2	14.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	50	47	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-15	21	14.9	14.1	0.78	15.3	14.0	1.22
Marvin Williams	58	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-9	9	14.5	14.4	0.12	15.1	14.0	1.00
Dwight Howard	69	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-12	15	14.7	13.9	0.77	15.5	12.7	2.79
Kemba Walker	69	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-12	15	14.7	13.9	0.77	15.5	12.7	2.79
Malik Monk	41	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	1	-11	14.0	14.8	-0.87	13.5	15.3	-1.85
Johnny O'Bryant III	32	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	3	-15	13.9	14.7	-0.77	12.7	15.5	-2.79
Treveon Graham	43	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.0	15.1	-1.00
Frank Kaminsky	72	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	-1	-7	14.1	15.3	-1.14	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Jeremy Lamb	71	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	9	-27	14.6	14.2	0.38	14.0	16.4	-2.39

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	75	78	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.08	22	-13	35	14.3	15.9	-1.60	14.7	13.6	1.11
Matthew Dellavedova	68	71	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.15	17	-8	25	14.0	16.1	-2.10	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	85	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	2	5	14.8	13.8	0.98	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Khris Middleton	69	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-1	11	14.4	15.2	-0.82	14.9	13.4	1.52
John Henson	23	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	6	-3	14.9	14.5	0.37	15.1	14.3	0.82
Mirza Teletovic	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	9	-9	14.9	14.3	0.61	14.6	14.3	0.34
Greg Monroe	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	4	1	14.2	15.0	-0.86	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Thon Maker	30	33	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	8	-7	15.1	14.4	0.68	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Gary Payton II	7	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	17	-25	18.3	14.3	3.94	10.3	14.8	-4.49
DeAndre Liggins	41	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.15	-12	21	-33	15.4	14.1	1.36	14.7	14.3	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.73,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.81,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.55,0.98,1	91.9%
CLE 87, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.46,0.67,0.59,1	91.5%
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	91.3%